Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

It’s a tarp!

How has Obama failed you today?

A snarling mass of vitriolic vicious jackals

Where tasty lettuce and good mustard aren’t elitist.

Verified, but limited!

Dinky Hocker Shoots Smack!

What fresh hell is this?

Naturally gregarious and alpha

Han shot first.

Mission Accomplished!

The revolution will be supervised.

This is how realignments happen…

This Blog Goes to 11…

We still have time to mess this up!

Consistently wrong since 2002

Women: They Get Shit Done

I thought we were promised Infrastructure Week

We have all the best words.

Militantly superior in their own minds…

We Survived Breitbartpocalypse!

Saul Alinsky is my co-pilot

Just a few bad apples.

I personally stopped the public option…

This blog will pay for itself.

McFaul On Disinformation

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Started, they have, the disinformation wars.

Michael McFaul, the US Ambassador to Russia during the Obama administration, warns us that the disinformation will be flowing thick and fast during the impeachment trial. He points out three tactics:

  1. Deny facts
  2. Deflect attention, also known as “whataboutism”
  3. Disseminate lies

The net of all this is to make us feel that nothing matters, that there is no such thing as truth. Watch for Republicans to do this and for it to be amplified by bots and trolls (my collective term for automated and other troublemakers) on social media, the unthinking media, and your friends and relatives.

Don’t let the argument degenerate to “Well, that’s your opinion.” There are facts, and we need to keep pounding them.

Also, read the whole thing.

Cross-posted at Nuclear Diner

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Let me tell you ’bout Pete, didn’t want no fame

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As many of you know, I am fueled creatively by my massive hatred of David Brooks.  And that’s why I’ve grown to dislike Pete Buttigieg so much.  The fucker’s running to be the president of David Brooks.  I’d like to say I wonder why totebaggers love him so much but I don’t: the seven languages, the rhetoric about unity, the praise from David Brooks…it hits all the NPR erogenous zones.

Ok, now that that’s off my chest, let’s raise some money for the Senate.  I think that’s the place where it makes the most sense to raise money right now.  The Balloon Juice Senate fund is split between the eventual Dem nominees in CO, NC, GA, IA, and ME.  (Update: Also AZ.) You can divvy it up however you like.

Goal Thermometer

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Repub Venality Open Thread: Money Changes Everything Memories

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Two weeks out from the 2016 elections, a first-time donor born in Ukraine lit up the map of the Republican Party with a $50,000 cash donation to Donald Trump’s joint fundraising committee.

By cutting just one check to Trump Victory Committee — well before he became a central figure in the impeachment of the president he helped elect — Lev Parnas left an indelible mark on two national and 20 state Republican entities.

Trump Victory subdivided his contribution into $33,400 for the Republican National Committee and $2,700 to Trump, the then-maximum allowable donations. The remainder went to GOP entities crisscrossing the country from New York to California, each receiving a modest sum of $661.90.

Official paperwork from the donation lists Parnas an employee of the Fraud Guarantee, the same company Parnas used to hire Trump’s attorney Rudy Giuliani in a relationship that has drawn scrutiny from federal prosecutors.

Three years later, down to the same month, the Justice Department on Oct. 10 unsealed an indictment of Parnas for using a straw donor and laundering foreign money into U.S. elections. Federal prosecutors claim he and his Fraud Guarantee co-owner, Igor Fruman, used the shell company Global Energy Producers to funnel $325,000 in foreign cash into America First Action, a Trump super-PAC.

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Yes, And?

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The Post has been publishing excerpts from Carol Leonnig and Philip Rucker’s A Very Stable Genius, and it’s about what you’d expect. The latest is Trump calling generals “dopes and babies”.

My response to that is more-or-less “so what”. We knew who he was before he ran, it became clearer as the campaign progressed, and now we have one more anecdote to add to the massive pile of evidence that Trump is spectacularly unfit for office. My basic understanding of Trump has not been enhanced one bit by the information published in the excerpt, and I don’t think I would learn much new from the book itself.

The Post has been one of the better (if not the best) of mainstream media outlets – “Democracy Dies in the Dark” was a clear signal that they recognized Trump as a serious threat, which is far beyond a lot of other outlets. But the Post still exists on a continuum of press attitudes. At one end of that continuum lies outlets like NPR, which are still trying to wedge Trump’s behavior into the template of what a normal President would do. At the other end is an outlet like the Post, which gets it that Trump is not normal, and are unafraid to report that.

But nowhere on that continuum of mainstream media attitudes is an outlet that regularly and frankly reports that Trump is what Republicans have become. Every lying Trump enabler in Congress, except the ones like Steve King who have been exiled by Republicans, gets a whopping benefit of the doubt about their attitude towards Trump. Look at the attention Mike Lee and Rand Paul got last week over some really garden variety bitching about the terrible briefing they got. Lee and Paul got that attention precisely because they are Republicans, and the stage directions that the press follow say that if a Republican complains about what another Republican does, then it’s a legitimate complaint. Otherwise, it’s noise.

Well, that little rule of thumb might work in an normal environment where both Republicans and Democrats are fighting about normal things. But this is not a normal environment, and we are not fighting about normal things. Democrats are literally fighting to save the country. Republicans are aiding and abetting someone trying to destroy it, because they could not figure out a way to stop being a party that caters mainly to white males. But saying “Democrats are the only party that cares about anyone but white males” or “Republicans would rather sacrifice the rule of law than lose political power” makes you sound like you’re off script, so instead we have two of the best reporters in the country writing this book.

It’s like being faced with a stinking manure pile that is poisoning the water supply, and spending your time examining it the pile instead of addressing the crisis. “Oh, that’s a horse apple.” “Hmm, just as I thought – another cow pie”.

Yes, it’s a fucking shit pile. We get it. Let’s talk about who put it there.

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Hospital mergers: what are they good for?

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Earlier this month, a powerhouse team of health economists looked at quality outcomes for hospital mergers. The results were impressive for policy purposes but quite depressing:

We could conceivably be willing to pay more if we, as a society and patients, get better quality services and outcomes.

We could be willing to pay more if we get a better experience for the same outcomes.

Those are plausible improvements that may be worth paying more for.

However this study is not finding those types of improvements.  So what is happening?  Are these mergers mostly about market power and building moats to enable the collection of rent?  That is one hell of a plausible interpretation that has not been disproven yet.

 

 

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Quinerly In New Mexico

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Valued commenter Quinerly will soon be on the road again, and she’d love to meet Juicers during her travels. Here’s her schedule:

  • 1/27 Arrive Santa Fe 1/27
  • 2/27 Arrive Gallup
  • 3/1 Arrive Farmington
  • 3/8 Leave Farmington

She also plans short trips to Las Vegas (NM), Albuquerque, Abiquiu, Taos, Bosque del Apache (and the Owl Bar in San Antonio), Los Alamos, Corrales, Moriarty, Belen, and Mountainair.

If you’re interested in meeting her at any of these times, reply in the comments or email me at “Contact us.”

We will probably do a meetup when she is in Santa Fe. You can also suggest dates in the comments. I’ll do another post when we get closer to the time.

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Friday Morning Open Thread: Nevertheless…

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Yes, I can hear you rolling your eyes so hard. But this is *my* happy place!

… Warren launched her campaign at a relative low point. She was polling in the single digits nationally and still trying to overcome recriminations over her decision to release a DNA test in attempt to rebut attacks over her claims of Native American heritage. Despite this, top operatives still flocked to join her campaign.

Her team was able to sort and sift through résumés, making a concerted effort to make hires based on finding candidates the team thought would be suited for the positive, ego-free workplace culture it was trying to build. One model for this approach was “The Cubs Way,” a book about how the Chicago Cubs finally won a World Series, as a guide for how to build an organization. The result is a staff devoted to its candidate, disinclined toward drama, and very disciplined.

The team has also built out its presence in the states holding primary contests in March and planned ahead to be able to take advantage of any momentum from early states. In contrast with past campaigns, in which staffers in states like Iowa and New Hampshire didn’t know their next assignment until after votes had been cast, these staffers have already been told their next destination. Further, Warren’s campaign has also consistently avoided issues with the nitty-gritty of qualifying for ballots in every state, which can often trip up campaigns. She was one of only two candidates to file a full delegate slate in Illinois…

Warren spent much of the race as the policy candidate, turning “I’ve got a plan for that” into an applause line on the stump to emphasize her intellectual bona fides.

Ian Sams, a Democratic strategist who was a top aide on Sen. Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign, told Insider that Warren “successfully demonstrated proficiency, skill, and knowledge through her policy agenda, which blotted out ability for media to scrutinize anything but policy” and “forced her rivals to focus almost exclusively on policy.” He added, “The thing about her policy is that it’s all pretty popular.”…

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On The Road – DaveInOz – Beautiful Tasmania

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Good morning everyone,

This is a submission from Dec 20, so a while back, before all the ghastly, horrible fires. The life that’s been extinguished in Australia provokes in me such a profound well of sadness and horror. And dread – dread for things worse to come, and soon.

All we can do is make today and tomorrow better, we cannot do a thing about yesterday, and so there is hope, action, progress, setback, and adaptation in our eternally-renewing daily tomorrows. We cannot lose ourselves to grief for what we’ve lost, me must harness that since we can not afford to lose more ecosystems and species, anywhere, of any type. Life is limited, glorious, and its diversity worth preserving.

We have no choice but to keep on, but maybe we can all find some ways to be better on energy – paying the premium for renewable energy, going solar where appropriate, using hybrid, plug-in hybrid, and BEV vehicles. Moving our investments out of the oil and coal industries and into solar, wind, tidal, and other renewables.

And changing our purchasing behavior: buying water from other continents is bad, as is buying firewood, and so many other basic resources that are pissed or burned away in a jiffy and so are not worth spending so much energy moving so far, even if someone can make a profit doing it by externalizing and diluting the apparent costs and effects over time and area. These are two minor examples of the market providing cheap products that make no sense if you step back and take another look. Since we are in a consumer-driven economy, the consumer has power. Use it!

Have a great day and weekend, we’ll recommence Monday, same bat-time, same bat-channel.

 

Living in Melbourne, a trip to Tasmania is not too taxing but we’ve always flown in the past and hired a car while there.

This time, we decided to take our own car on the ferry, the Spirit of Tasmania, so that we could stock up with the island’s famous food and drink for the Christmas holidays.

On The Road - DaveInOz - Beautiful Tasmania 7
Boat Harbour, TasmaniaDecember 8, 2019

After a night in the delightfully named Penguin, a drive along the North-West coast of Tasmania, this is a view of the small town of Boat Harbour.

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Open Thread: Late Night Notes on Lev Parnas

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Per an unreliable narrator:

But look how happy he was, at Mar-A-Lago!:

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Potential Book Club Material: “A Very Stable Genius”

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I’m kidding, of course — we know most of this crap already. But kudos to the authors on the timing of their release…

President Trump reveals himself as woefully uninformed about the basics of geography, incorrectly telling Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, “It’s not like you’ve got China on your border.” He toys with awarding himself the Medal of Freedom.

And, according to a new book by Washington Post reporters Philip Rucker and Carol D. Leonnig, Trump does not seem to grasp the fundamental history surrounding the attack on Pearl Harbor…

“A Very Stable Genius” — a 417-page book named after Trump’s own declaration of his superior knowledge — is full of similarly vivid details from Trump’s tumultuous first three years as president, from his chaotic transition before taking office to special counsel Robert S. Mueller III’s Russia investigation and final report…

The book by the two longtime Post reporters — who were part of the team that won a 2018 Pulitzer Prize for its reporting on Trump and Russia — was obtained ahead of its scheduled release Tuesday.

Many of the key moments reported in the book are rife with foreign policy implications, portraying a novice commander in chief plowing through normal protocols and alarming many both inside the administration and in other governments.

Early in his administration, for instance, Trump is eager to meet Russian President Vladimir Putin — so much so, the authors write, “that during the transition he interrupts an interview with one of his secretary of state candidates” to inquire about his pressing desire: “When can I meet Putin? Can I meet with him before the inaugural ceremony?” he asks…

In spring 2017, Trump also clashed with Tillerson when he told him he wanted his help getting rid of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act, a 1977 law that prevents U.S. firms and individuals from bribing foreign officials for business deals.

“It’s just so unfair that American companies aren’t allowed to pay bribes to get business overseas,” Trump says, according to the book. “We’re going to change that.”

The president, they go on to explain, was frustrated with the law “ostensibly because it restricted his industry buddies or his own company’s executives from paying off foreign governments in faraway lands.”

The book, the duo writes in an author’s note, is based on hundreds of hours of interviews with more than 200 sources, corroborated, when possible, by calendars, diary entries, internal memos and even private video recordings. (Trump himself had initially committed to an interview for the book, the authors write, but ultimately declined, amid an escalating war with the media).

The White House did not immediately respond to requests for comment Wednesday…

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Domestic Terrorism Open Thread: Good for Governor Northam

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… A sense of crisis enveloped the capital of Virginia on Thursday, with the police on heightened alert and Richmond bracing for possible violence ahead of a gun rally next week that is expected to draw white supremacists and other anti-government extremists.

Members of numerous armed militias and white power proponents vowed to converge on the city despite the state of emergency declared by Gov. Ralph Northam, who temporarily banned weapons from the grounds of the State Capitol. The potential for an armed confrontation prompted fears of a rerun of the 2017 far-right rally that left one person dead and some two dozen injured in Charlottesville, about an hour’s drive from Monday’s rally.

The unease increased after the F.B.I. announced the arrest on Thursday of three armed men suspected of being members of a neo-Nazi hate group, including a former Canadian Army reservist, who had obtained weapons and discussed participating in the Richmond rally. The men were linked to The Base, a group that aims to create a white ethnostate, according to the F.B.I.

For weeks, discussions about the rally have lit up Facebook pages and chat rooms frequented by militia members and white supremacists. Various extremist organizations or their adherents are calling Monday’s rally the “boogaloo.” In the lexicon of white supremacists, that is an event that will accelerate the race war they have anticipated for decades…

The rally on Monday, the holiday marking the birthday of the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr., was initially organized to protest the Virginia Legislature’s proposed restrictions on gun purchases.

The organizer, the Virginia Citizens Defense League, is prominent in the state’s Second Amendment rights movement, donating tens of thousands of dollars to lawmakers over the years. Its president, Philip Van Cleave, refers to himself as an extremist but issued a statement saying the rally was meant to be a peaceful protest about gun rights.

In the past, its lobbying efforts were focused on loosening the state’s gun laws.

But with a new Democratic majority in the Legislature, the group has made it clear that Monday’s event will be focused on opposing sweeping gun control measures that could be enacted next week....

On Thursday, the House of Delegates and the Senate held their regularly scheduled sessions under tighter-than-normal security by the Capitol Police. The Senate approved several gun control measures, including a bill that limits people to buying only one gun each month.

Also Thursday, a circuit court judge upheld the governor’s temporary ban on weapons in the area around the Capitol from Friday until Tuesday…

The F.B.I. has grown increasingly concerned about The Base as it has worked to recruit more people. The group encourages the onset of anarchy, according to the Counter Extremism Project, an organization that tracks far-right extremists. Experts say that its founder, an American, appears to be living in Russia…

Of course not every ‘gun rights activist’ is a racist, nor is every racist an ammosexual — but is it surprising how much the two groups overlap?

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Election Year Open Thread: BIDEN 2020 – You’ll Come Around, Folks!

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One way we can tell most voters haven’t been paying as much attention as we have over the last many months: This is still a new idea to a lot of people…

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Follow The Money!

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Detective-looking guy following dollar signs embedded in pavement to St. Basil’s Cathedral, just across Red Square from the Kremlin

Following the money is difficult and tedious. Each story is detailed, and the stories appear at different times, later overshadowed by the next Trump scandal. In this post, I collect instances of Russian-associated money going into Republican coffers.

There aren’t enough instances to connect into a pattern beyond that theme, although some names occur in more than one example. I hope reporters will see this as a fertile path forward. Foreign money is prohibited in US political campaigns, but there are ways to get around that.

There are probably more – add them in the comments, preferably with a link, if you have them.

Rusal Aluminum Rolling Mill in Kentucky

Shortly after sanctions against Russia were lifted in early 2019, Rusal, a Russian metals company in which Oleg Deripaska has an interest, announced that it would participate in building an aluminum rolling mill in Ashland, Kentucky. Mitch McConnell, of course, is from Kentucky. (Washington Post, New York Times)

Dallas Morning News, Updated May 2018

Donations from several Russian-associated American citizens to campaigns of Mitch McConnell, Marco Rubio, and Lindsey Graham are documented. The donors are Len Blavatnik, Andrew Intrater, Alexander Shustorovich, and Simon Kukes. There are connections among them and to Rusal, in which Blavatnik holds a 20.5% stake with Viktor Vekselberg. Blavatnik gave $6.35 million to GOP political action committees in 2015-2016, including $2 million from one of his companies to McConnell’s PAC.

Vekselberg is the president of the Renova Group, a Russian conglomerate with interests in aluminum, energy, and other sectors. Intrater is the chief executive of Columbus Nova, Renova’s US investment arm.

Shustorovich, chief executive of IMG Artists, attempted to give the Republican Party $250K in 2000 to support the Bush campaign, but his money was rejected because of his ties to the Russian government. $1 million to Trump’s Inaugural Committee.

From 1998 to 2003, Kukes worked for Vekselberg and Blavatnik. He contributed a total of $283K, much of it to the Trump Victory Fund. He had no significant donor history before that election.

Steven Mnuchin owned a Hollywood financing company with Blavatnik until he sold his stake to accept Trump’s appointment as Treasury Secretary.

The Citizens United decision made these contributions legal.

A quote from the May 17, 2017, Washington Post:

A month before Donald Trump clinched the Republican nomination, one of his closest allies in Congress — House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy — made a politically explosive assertion in a private conversation on Capitol Hill with his fellow GOP leaders: that Trump could be the beneficiary of payments from Russian President Vladimir Putin.

“There’s two people I think Putin pays: Rohrabacher and Trump,” McCarthy (R-Calif.) said, according to a recording of the June 15, 2016, exchange, which was listened to and verified by The Washington Post. Rep. Dana Rohrabacher is a Californian Republican known in Congress as a fervent defender of Putin and Russia.

House Speaker Paul D. Ryan (R-Wis.) immediately interjected, stopping the conversation from further exploring McCarthy’s assertion, and swore the Republicans present to secrecy….

News had just broken the day before in The Washington Post that Russian government hackers had penetrated the computer network of the Democratic National Committee, prompting McCarthy to shift the conversation from Russian meddling in Europe to events closer to home.

Some of the lawmakers laughed at McCarthy’s comment. Then McCarthy quickly added: “Swear to God.”

Ryan instructed his Republican lieutenants to keep the conversation private, saying: “No leaks. . . . This is how we know we’re a real family here.”

Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman

Kevin McCarthy has said he will donate to charity funds totaling about $185,000 received from Rudy Giuliani associates Lev Parnas and Igor Fruman. His campaign organizations received the money just before McCarthy called for US Ambassador to Ukraine Marie Yovanovich to be removed from her job. Parnas and Fruman have received some of their money from Dmytro Firtash, who is in Austria, fighting extradition to the US on bribery charges and has been a front man for the Kremlin in attempting to gain control of Ukrainian natural gas supplies. Giuliani, who Trump says is his lawyer, has accepted money from Parnas and Fruman. Investigation continues.

Michael Cohen and Essential Consultants Inc.

Columbus Nova, mentioned in the Dallas Morning News article, paid $500,000 to Michael Cohen’s shell company, Essential Consultants Inc. That company was the vehicle for paying hush money to one of Donald Trump’s mistresses. Viktor Vekselberg and Andrew Intrater were involved. Cohen was the treasurer of the Republican Party, and this payment may have been made while he was in that post.

National Rifle Association (NRA)

The NRA has been closely associated with the Republican Party in fighting limitations on gun ownership. Maria Butina infiltrated the organization as a Russian agent, establishing “lines of communication to advance Russian interests.” An 18-month investigation by the Senate Finance Committee’s Democratic staff found that the NRA supported Butina’s activities and those of her supervisor, Alexander Torshin in setting up a trip for NRA executives to travel to Russia with the expectation of enhancing their personal business activities. Such use of a nonprofit’s funds is illegal.

Counterintelligence Investigation

A counterintelligence investigation into Russian influence in the 2016 election preceded the Mueller investigation, was folded into it, and still continues. We need to hear more from that investigation. That investigation may have turned up the hacking of the Republican National Committee by Russians, from which no information has been leaked.

Hotel in Azerbaijan and Iran’s Revolutionary Guard

This money in this story is not Russian, but rather from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. The Trump organization may have laundered money for the Revolutionary Guard through a hotel built in Baku, Azerbaijan. The New Yorker’s Adam Davidson did the investigation and has been trying to get the attention of other media on Twitter, given the current hostilities with Iran. Here’s one of his Twitter threads.

Not money, but it might be useful to cross-check the 16 times that Trump has spoken privately with Vladimir Putin.

Paul Manafort worked for Deripaska and owed him millions of dollars.

This may not be a full listing of Russian money going to Republican candidates and organizations. If you have other examples, add them in the comments, preferably with links.

Russia is not a friend of the United States, so one might ask a number of questions. Why are Republicans willing to accept Russian money? Is there similar evidence for Democrats? The account in the Dallas Morning News says that they are reporting on “99% Republican donations.” Does this money influence officeholders’ opinions and votes?

Seems important to me.

Image source

Cross-posted to Nuclear Diner

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Open Thread: Have We Discussed That GAO Report Yet?

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Schiff Statement on GAO Decision that Trump Broke the Law

Washington, DC – Today, Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA), the lead House Manager for the Senate impeachment trial of President Donald J. Trump, issued the following statement:

“Today’s decision by the Government Accountability Office that President Trump broke the law when he withheld hundreds of millions of dollars of vital military aid to Ukraine demonstrates once again that the President violated his constitutional duty to take care that the laws be faithfully executed as he put his personal and political interests above the interests of the nation and its security.

“President Trump illegally withheld U.S. taxpayer dollars as leverage to get the Ukrainian president to help him win reelection, another indication of the extreme lengths to which the President would go to coerce a foreign power into helping him cheat to win. The President was willing to violate the law in withholding security assistance from an ally at war with Russia, a gross abuse of the powers of his office, acts for which he was impeached.

“In its opinion, GAO states that ‘faithful execution of the law does not permit the President to substitute his own policy priorities for those that Congress has enacted into law.’  President Trump’s conduct is all the more egregious because he was not withholding the funds for a policy reason at all, but for the corrupt purpose of seeking foreign help in his reelection campaign.

“As it has with the House, Trump’s State Department and OMB have ‘failed, as of yet, to provide the information’ GAO needs to complete its investigation.  As GAO opinion states: ‘All federal officials and employees take an oath to uphold and protect the Constitution and its core tenets, including the congressional power of the purse.’

“Now, the Senate will have the opportunity to act on its oath.”

The usual suspects are talking about how this is no big deal (!!) and the Hannity talking points that GAO contributes to Democrats and Socialists. I cannot make this stuff up, but will not link to that garbage.

It’s time for every journalist to get a microphone in front of every Senator and ask them what they think of the GAO report and get it on the record. I’m sure we’ll get more McSally moments.

Open thread

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