Polling Goodies, Plus Right for the Wrong Reasons

New polling results released by Bloomberg today look good for Clinton:


An excerpt from the accompanying analysis:

Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Trump by 9 percentage points in the survey of likely voters, taken after a leaked video prompted a series of women to come forward alleging the Republican made unwanted sexual advances.

Support for Trump among critical groups of voters, including men and the less educated, has weakened in the campaign’s closing days, a trajectory that could translate into a landslide loss for Republicans in the Electoral College and setbacks in down-ballot races that will determine control of the House and Senate.

“This poll shows movement toward Clinton with all the right groups it takes to win—including men and those without a college degree,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, who oversaw the survey ahead of the final debate Wednesday. “Their alignment with Clinton is a formidable change in the algebra.”

And to think I used to hate algebra!

In other good news from an unexpected quarter, Lil’ Marco is apparently immune to the Assange fanboi fever that has gripped the rest of the GOP:

Sen. Marco Rubio tells ABC News Republicans are making a mistake by jumping on allegedly hacked emails released by Wikileaks to criticize Hillary Clinton. In fact, he says he won’t talk about the hacked emails at all.

“As our intelligence agencies have said, these leaks are an effort by a foreign government to interfere with our electoral process and I will not indulge it,” Rubio tells ABC news. “Further, I want to warn my fellow Republicans who may want to capitalize politically on these leaks: Today it is the Democrats. Tomorrow it could be us.”

Now, we know Lil’ Marco lacks the courage of any conviction except his belief that he should be reelected to the no-show senate job he is on record disdaining. He has endorsed the presidential candidate he once rightly called out as a dangerous, unqualified conman in a transparent attempt to save his own bacon.

So why is he willing to indulge in truth-telling about WikiLeaks and its role as Putin’s cat’s paw as Russia attempts to interfere with a U.S. election? My guess is he’s seen polling that scares the bejeebus out of him and is attempting to micro-target specific groups in Florida.

Rubio is walking a tightrope over twin vats of boiling acid — the Trumpenproletariet in the Florida interior and panhandle on one side and reflexive Cold Warriors in South Florida on the other. He dares not offend the former by repudiating Trump and is attempting to curry favor with the latter by taking a shot at the revanchist Putin.

Lil’ Marco might also be optimistically calculating that when he runs against President Hillary Clinton in 2020, Putin might prefer to continue to deal with the incumbent rather than a callow, empty suit who built his political identity around a phony “Cuban exile” story. Ironically, Rubio may be the rare case where WikiLeaks apologists like Greenwald and Billmon, who like to tar fellow Democrats with the “red baiter” brush, might actually have a point.

But however he arrived at it, Rubio is correct to reject attempts by a foreign power to screw with our election. So is the nation of Ecuador, which has done us the favor of putting the proper name to that exercise while our own Beltway press mostly ignores Putin’s brazen power play in favor of hunting bits of salacious political gossip.

Bad luck ain’t got me so far

I am a superstitious man, as Don Corleone once said, so normally I would never say that my candidate had a race sewn up, because that might jinx my candidates. However, one of my superstitions is that Mark Halperin saying that something will happen makes that something less likely to happen. So this stupid Halperin shit about how Putin and Julian Assange may be about to swing the election probably means that the race really and truly is over

Let’s take the House and Senate too.

Goal Thermometer

Midnight. Baseball Bats And Boogeymen. Beautiful.

From the man who gave us Sarah Palin:

I can’t argue with most of his assessment.

Open thread

Feeling Flinchy

Digby and Krugman are feeling flinchy:

I understand: Democrats are in an abusive relationship with the media. But I don’t think even the acolytes of the late David Broder can gin up sustained interest in Hillary Clinton’s emails or decades-old reactions to Bill Clinton’s sleazy behavior when women are coming forward with stories like this from now until election day:

“The time that he walked through the dressing rooms was really shocking. We were all naked,” [former Miss New Hampshire Bridget Sullivan] said. Sullivan compared Trump to a “creepy uncle.” “He’d hug you just a little low on your back,” she said.

And there is audio of Trump boasting about his right to ogle his property:

“I’ll tell you the funniest is that I’ll go backstage before a show and everyone’s getting dressed,” Trump told Stern in recordings released Saturday by CNN. “No men are anywhere, and I’m allowed to go in, because I’m the owner of the pageant and therefore I’m inspecting it…. ‘Is everyone OK’? You know, they’re standing there with no clothes. ‘Is everybody OK?’ And you see these incredible looking women, and so I sort of get away with things like that.”


Wednesday Morning Open Thread: At the GOP, It’s Liars All the Way Down

As “everyone” keeps reminding us, VP debates usually have little to no impact on election results — even if they do provide running gags for the punditerati to repeat to each other for the next several decades. (Hey, remember that hilarious Admiral Stockdale bit back in 1992?) But this particular debate may have a positive effect for the Democrats (and the world), in that conventional wisdom is coalescing around the meme that Mike Pence didn’t work very hard to defend his overcard… and Donald Trump is not the man to let disloyalty like that just slip unnoticed…

Tim Kaine, IMO, did just fine. He stood up for HRClinton, fiercely. Just as importantly, he kept reminding people exactly what Donald Trump was like — and that Mike ‘the Sane One’ Pence was just as duplicitous, racist and greedy as Trump, no matter how smooth his delivery or how furrowed his noble brow…

If you don’t believe me, here’s a counter-example — Mark Halperin gives Pence two sucked thumbs up!

One could almost believe this here new-fangled social media gimcrackery might have its uses…

Open Thread: Donald Trump, King of the Balloon Boys?

Justin Peters, at Slate, “The Ballad of Balloon Boy”:

The Balloon Boy story crystallizes the problem of cable news in one historically stupid moment. Balloon Boy happened because CNN and its competitors couldn’t help it from happening, because the production demands of a 24-hour news network left it vulnerable to the chicanery of an unscrupulous jerk. It deserves to be remembered as the moment when cable news emerged from its chrysalis and became the entity it was genetically destined to become: a fundamentally unjournalistic medium uniquely susceptible to the wheedlings of vain and manipulative grifters, condemned to follow shiny objects until the end of time. Sometimes those shiny objects are balloons. Sometimes they’re loudmouths with dumb opinions. And sometimes they’re presidential candidates…

But the network wasn’t wholly at fault, either. The balloon was in the air. The boy’s family said he was in it. The boy was nowhere to be found at home. Who can blame CNN for going with it? It’s hard to report accurately on a story when the prime mover of that story is blatantly lying to you. It’s especially hard to report accurately when you carry the news as it happens, when you outsource the contextualization of the images you broadcast.

The media, especially cable news, seems essentially passive; they’ve been trained to wait for news to come to them. This assumed passivity conceals the media’s own role in setting the news agenda, in elevating things from curiosities to actual news stories. After picking up the story toward the end of its 2 p.m. hour, CNN broadcast an entire workday’s worth of Balloon Boy…

Today, I use the term Balloon Boy as shorthand for a special species of jerk, a catchall term for unreliable narrators whose studied theatricality and sociopathic zeal for attention lets them successfully prey on our media’s unceasing demand for new news. Unlike an actual boy in an actual balloon, America’s Balloon Boys will never disappear into the clouds. Balloon Boys will always remain just off in the middle distance, hovering in the periphery of consciousness, waiting around for the right breeze to ride into the headlines. Balloon Boys are the future of jerks: people who will do anything to attract and maintain coverage, who recognize that, these days moreso than ever, the public and the media will keep watching you if you commit to doing and saying the dumbest possible things with the straightest possible faces…

Quit Being Part Of The F-ing Problem, Jerk-Off

National treasure, Samantha Bee:

Here is Michelle campaigning for Hillary yesterday. I’m about ready to watch it. Heard she managed to surgically destroy Trump without ever mentioning his name. So that should start my work day off with a smile.

Open thread…