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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

I’m going back to the respite thread.

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

A sufficient plurality of insane, greedy people can tank any democratic system ever devised, apparently.

Sadly, there is no cure for stupid.

Trump is going to draw a dick on that dog with a sharpie, isn’t he?

I did not have this on my fuck 2020 bingo card.

This blog goes to 11…

Impressively dumb. Congratulations.

We have all the best words.

Tick tock motherfuckers! Tick fucking tock!

Gastritis broke my calculator.

Wetsuit optional.

I can’t take this shit today. I just can’t.

Balloon Juice has never been a refuge for the linguistically delicate.

Historically it is a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

No offense, but this thread hasn’t been about you for quite a while.

Yes we did.

How has Obama failed you today?

I thought we were promised Infrastructure Week.

We can agree to disagree, but i’m right.

It’s not even safe to go out and pick up 2 days worth of poop anymore.

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

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Roseate spoonbill and snowy egret wading in the Withlacoochee River

Nature & Respite

You are here: Home / Archives for Nature & Respite

The Great Conjunction Is Complete!

by Adam L Silverman|  December 21, 20206:31 pm| 54 Comments

This post is in: Nature, Nature & Respite, Open Threads

Now the surviving Gelflings will be safe!

Open thread!

The Great Conjunction Is Complete!Post + Comments (54)

Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun

by TaMara (HFG)|  December 17, 202012:56 pm| 44 Comments

This post is in: Pet Blogging, Something Good Open Thread, I Will Cut You If You Muddy This Thread

Time for another round of submissions! Note for next week: I’m going to do a recipe post with cookies and such, so if you want to send me holiday photos of some of your treats, meals or edible gifts, that would be fun.

On to the festive photos. This is one of my favorites, I’m in awe of these eggs from Cheryl from Maryland:

Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 2

Re Holiday Joy — during the 1960s and 1970s, when I was a child, my mother was a regular consumer of Womens magazines dedicated to homemaking and enriching your children.  Her favorite was McCalls, which had regular crafting articles for semi talented children.  I was my mother’s guinea pig, which actually was genius on her part as I became an art historian and had a 30 year career in the arts with the Smithsonian Institution.
The craft experience which I still do today was painting blown eggs for Easter, which I as a teen turned into Christmas Decorations.  Many of those I still have are at least 45 years old.  My mother got the idea from McCalls magazine where Betsy McCall painted blown eggs and hung them on tree branches
The eggs are regular grocery store eggs, size extra large.  Take them out of the fridge for a couple of hours, use a metal lacer for a turkey or similar to poke holes at the top and bottom.  Use the lacer to punch the yolk and stir the interior egg stuff up so it is as liquid as possible.  Over a bowl, blow on the top hole until the egg contents come out.  My mother had great lung power and had useful egg contents for brownies, etc.  Me, I throw away the contents.  Rinse the egg with water through the holes, set in an egg carton on the counter to drip for a few days.
Then, draw what you want on the egg.  I use pencil, then paint with watercolors (classic elementary school Binney and Smith), with black acrylic paint to give the work an illuminated manuscript/wood cut look.  I use thin color washes on the egg and blot the color often with a tissue.
After you like what you did, either use a twist tie to make a hanger, or use a long needle, metallic thread and beads to make a hanger.  I can crochet, so I make a chain with beads threaded through the egg.  I’m sorry I can’t explain how I do it as I’ve been doing it for so long.
Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 1
So, some images. I was and still am a devotee of European art from about 1300 to 1500, which I think you can tell.  Also King Arthur and fantasy.  My mother-in-law has about 30 eggs on a tree with the nativity story (the image shows mostly angels).  I have about 45; various cousins and friends have some as well.  

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Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 3
Also, attached are some images of creative gift wrapping! I’d like to emphasize, especially in this time of children not in school, that crafts not only are important for eye hand coordination and boredom, but they can develop the imagination and habits of a lifetime so one is an active person at leisure rather than a passive one. Such things also lead to quality work as an adult. Under my mother’s tutelage, we also made puppets out of paper bags and jello/pudding boxes and wrote plays. Bad plays and puppets, but I believe the work of envisioning, planning, reviewing, making, etc. was crucial to my 30 year career overseeing exhibitions at the Smithsonian Traveling Exhibition Service.
Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun
=================
That gift wrapping would so fit in my household. Next up more gift-wrapped presents from frosty:
Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 4

This is a picture from Christmas morning 2018. We kind of overdid it on presents – those are for four of us. We’ve had Christmas at my older son’s apartment or house since 2016. This year it will be at his new house that he just bought.

I have to say I like this arrangement. We had several years when we would cut a tree, with the boys doing the work that involved lying on the cold ground (yay!). I don’t miss setting up and decorating the tree. A string or two of lights outside is it for me these days.

=================
Some adorable pups from Miki:
Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 5

Cheesy pic from the olden days, Da Boyz: Chowley Socktoe, Morning Glory Mike, Tucker, and Ryder.

I started the Spoo Era with Mike, slid Chowley into my sister’s heart, grabbed onto Tucker for myself, all of whom made it impossible for the last sister to resist being tagged by Ryder. They’re all gone now (the poodles, not the sisters). But each of our lives was immensely enriched by their presence.
Poodles Rule. Labs Drool.
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 And finally from me, another oldie. Christmas 2004 with Emma, Harley, Missy and Jake. Emma enjoys another Christmas with us, and the rest are always here in spirit.
Respite Open Thread: More Holiday Fun 6
And that is about the only way you can herd four cats into a Christmas photo, LOL.
Thanks everyone for sharing, it’s been a great way to get me into a more festive mood. Don’t forget, send me your holiday food photos for next week.
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Respite Open Thread: More Holiday FunPost + Comments (44)

Late Night Turkey Open Thread

by Cheryl Rofer|  December 11, 202010:56 pm| 59 Comments

This post is in: Birdwatching, Open Threads

Looks like we need a new thread. Fortunately, I have a fascinating link.

How Wild Turkeys Took Over New England

The turkeys’ subjugation of New England residents is a relatively recent phenomenon. Just 50 years ago, the Wild Turkey population in New England was essentially non-existent, and had been for over a century. Then, an extensive, coordinated effort to trap and transfer turkeys across state lines rejuvenated the population—a comeback lauded by wildlife biologists and agencies as a conservation triumph. “It was an all-hands-on-deck restoration effort,” says Chris Bernier, a wildlife biologist at the Vermont Fish & Wildlife Department. “It’s a fabulous success story.” But now, with turkeys practically running the show, agencies must find a balance between celebrating the Wild Turkey revival and ensuring that human and bird get along. “We’re at opposite ends of the spectrum from where we were 50 years ago,” says wildlife biologist David Scarpitti, who leads the Turkey & Upland Game Project at MassWildlife. “It’s gone from a conservation success story to a wildlife-management situation.”

The turkeys were moved into the Berkshires from New York’s Adirondaks. And nature took over from there.

Seems like turkeys are doing well everywhere, though. My sister in Oregon thinks they are increasing there too.

Open thread!

Late Night Turkey Open ThreadPost + Comments (59)

Respite Open Thread: Holiday Fun

by TaMara (HFG)|  December 10, 202012:32 pm| 97 Comments

This post is in: Nature & Respite, Something Good Open Thread, I Will Cut You If You Muddy This Thread

First of all – thank you all so much for your kind words about Penelope. I read each and every one of them. So much love for such a charming duck. My honest thought before I posted was, man, I’ve got to stop introducing you guys to my gang because it’s just too traumatic for everyone when we lose one. Which is inevitable when you have a house full of rescues of varying ages. As I said to a friend a few days before we unexpectedly lost Penelope Pearl, love is a risk, no doubt about it, but a risk well worth taking.

Now on to the festivities!

=====================

The other day I asked you to show me your holidays and happily, you responded.

First up from lurker Wendy:

Dorothy Winsor actually inspired this idea, when she shared this video:

Omnes sent me these wonderful memories:

My parents go all out for Christmas. Myriad decorations, ornaments gathered over the years, a top quality ham from a butcher shop, smoked salmon from the same place, homemade Boston baked beans (from the original Durgin Park recipe before they started putting too much sugar in them), homemade pate, a variety of cheeses, many types of homemade cookies (my mother has cut back over the past couple of years, there are still at least three kinds) and homemade vanilla custard trifle. Depending on the year, they can have anywhere from nine to twenty-five people come over. As the elder son and the only one who needed to travel more than a half hour to get there, I arrive a day or so early to try to help. Most of the time, I offered but got told that whatever is being done is “really just a one person job and I kind of like doing it.” So bartending and the two jobs I mention below are my contributions to the feast – plus my charm and and wit.

Respite Open Thread: Holiday Fun 1

I am including a picture of the tree at my parents’ house from the morning of Christmas Day. As people are getting everything ready, one of my jobs was to bring out the presents and arrange them under the tree.

Respite Open Thread: Holiday Fun

The other picture is a slightly blurry one of the vanilla custard trifle that my father makes every year. One of my other jobs on Christmas morning is to serve as assistant trifler as we assemble the thing.

The rest of Christmas Day can be a blur of snacks, opening gifts, and the whole dinner thing, but I really like that moment when the presents are under the tree, the trifle and other things are ready, the yard is covered with snow, and the rest of the people are just about to arrive. I can’t get there anymore, but at this moment I can still feel a bit of the magic of Christmas from when I was a child.

DavidG sent along cutie Morty in a bag:

Respite Open Thread: Holiday Fun 2

I enjoyed this Rabbi this morning on one of the local news stations. He’s charming and full of great information.

Here’s my Dane-deer from 2004:

Respite Open Thread: Holiday Fun 3

Shelby (Harlequin in back), Einstein on the left and Duncan on the right. Shelby was found running on the interstate, Einstein and Duncan were owner surrender – bonded brothers I fostered in an attempt to see if they could be separated. Those boys were my very first foster fails. ❤

And finally, if you missed this from Anne Laurie this morning, don’t miss it now. It completely turned my day around.

 

I’m still open to sharing more holiday memories, so email me (whats4dinnersolutions at live dot com). I do respond to each email, so if you sent something and don’t hear back from me, it means I did not receive it, so try again!

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Respite Open Thread: Holiday FunPost + Comments (97)

Respite Open Thread: A Strong & Slow Boring of Hard… Trees

by Anne Laurie|  December 5, 20205:58 pm| 231 Comments

This post is in: Nature & Respite

Well, I just witnessed some WOODPECKER DRAMA.

First, here’s a Yellow-Bellied Sapsucker hard at work. These woodpeckers make rows of shallow holes in tree bark, then return to drink sap & eat insects caught in it. It’s like woodpecker farming, persistent work 4 future payoff. 1/4 pic.twitter.com/QzAUtgVuLN

— Christina Larson 可心 (@larsonchristina) November 25, 2020

These days, everything feels political!

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For several minutes, I watched the same woodpecker ascend and descend two nearby trees, tending his fields of bark.

This was today in Rock Creek Park. 2/4 pic.twitter.com/711RaAGpGx

— Christina Larson 可心 (@larsonchristina) November 25, 2020

Then a loud rattling cry!

And a slightly larger Red-Bellied Woodpecker drove the Sapsucker from its spot. Then the usurper proceeded to go over the same spots looking for treats, up & down the tree. 3/4 pic.twitter.com/wL4vXcXeEQ

— Christina Larson 可心 (@larsonchristina) November 25, 2020

But the crimson usurper was also overthrown!

By a squirrel, also looking for a quick snack. 4/4 pic.twitter.com/VBIl4b7mcs

— Christina Larson 可心 (@larsonchristina) November 25, 2020

UPDATE: The saga ends where it begun.

After the twin pillagers had left, the Sapsucker returned to the two trees to inspect damages & losses, and start work anew. 5/5 pic.twitter.com/IW0kCF9h2Z

— Christina Larson 可心 (@larsonchristina) November 25, 2020

Respite Open Thread: A Strong & Slow Boring of Hard… TreesPost + Comments (231)

Respite Via One From The Filing Cabinet

by Tom Levenson|  November 30, 20207:39 pm| 71 Comments

This post is in: Nature & Respite, Open Threads, Science & Technology

So, as some of you have noted, I haven’t had a great deal to say for quite a while now. Lots of reasons, some obvious (how many times can you say the Republican Party is a death cult? All of them, Katie, I guess), some relating to just life stuff, but it’s past time for me to do my part here.

I do have some posts brewing on some present-day stuff, but I got a message today that someone had commented on my long-dead site, The Inverse Square Blog, which led me back to some of the stuff I’d written in the deep recesses of time, when Megan McArdle was my favorite target.

I’ve given the McArgle-Bargle beat up, as I’ve grown tired of cutting off hydra-heads, and the piece I’m resurrecting here is actually a column I put up at ScientificAmerican.com back in the day (2011). I’m reposting it here as a conversation starter, because though the question it discusses is long settled, the dynamic behind it is very much still with us.

Bit of background. A neutrino experiment collaboration called OPERA announced in September of 2011 that its instrument had detected neutrinos traveling from the CERN particle accelerator in Geneva to the OPERA in Gran Sasso, Italy faster than the speed of light.

Respite Via One From The Filing Cabinet
Created with GIMP

This was huge news at the time, but most working physicists had little confidence that the result would survive–not because the Opera team were bad scientists, or because there was any fraud involve, but because of…well, that’s what’s discussed in the piece.

The result was shown to be in error by late spring, 2012, and the claim was withdrawn.  I wrote my piece before that happened, because it seemed to me to be a great example of science working as it should–and as a way to see science as a daily, lived, human experience. That view of a process engaged with all the flaws of our species that nonetheless can reliably produce lasting, comprehensible results is a theme I’ve written about a lot.  A large part of my interest in this area comes from the fact that this understanding of science as both a process and its results is completely at odds with the malicious parody of science the right uses to wreck the application of reason and experiment to the bettering of the human condition. The example I give in the piece you’ll find below the fold is the hardy perennial, climate change denialism; we’re seeing the same moves now with the weaponized politicization of basic public health (and molecular biology, for that matter) around COVID.

La lucha continua.

So, below the fold find more, and treat this as a thread for conversation about whatever that provokes, or anything else at all.

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I’ve been doing a little poking around the matter of the Italian Grand Prix (neutrino division).  Plenty has been written about this already, of course, but what strikes me a few weeks into the story is how effectively the response to the announcement of a possible detection of faster-than-light neutrinos illustrates what actually goes into the making of a piece of science.  That, of course, also sheds light on,what it looks like when the intention is not to create understanding, but to obscure it.

First, to the neutrinos themselves.  For many of the actually knowledgeable folks I talk to (i.e., not me) the question about infamous Faster Than Light gang of neutrinos is not if they’ll be found out, but when.

That is:  while the experimental technique reported in the OPERAmeasurement is good enough to be taken seriously, many physicists note that challenges to special relativity have a very poor track record.  A number of other observations would have to be radically reinterpreted for the measurement of the travel time of neutrinos from CERN to Gran Sasso to stand up as an authentic discovery of faster than light travel.  See my earlier post on this subject for a bit of background and some useful links.

An example:  the OPERA result, if it holds up, would complicate (to say the least) the interpretation of the hugely wonderful detection of neutrinos emitted in the stellar collapse that produced  Supernova 1987a.  As the parent star of the supernova collapsed, the catastrophe produced 1058 neutrinos, give or take a couple.  In what was dubbed the  first triumph of neutrino astronomy, three detectors at widely separated locations detected a grand total of 24 of those (anti)neutrinos, all arriving within 13 seconds of each other.

Those neutrinos did reach planet earth before light from the supernova blast arrived. But that quirk of timing has nothing to do with faster than light travel.  Rather, it turns on the details of supernova physics.  Neutrinos are produced in the initial stellar collapse, and because neutrinos interact with basically nothing — they are untouched by either the strong nuclear force or electromagnetism  — the supernova-neutrinos sped out from the dying star more or less at the moment of the blast.  Light, by contrast is electromagnetic radiation – and readily interacts with charged particles.

That property caused the light of the supernova to crash around the interior of the evolving supernova explosion as photons interacted with all the extremely electromagnetically energetic matter at hand – a dance that held them up for a time.  After a few hours, that light escaped from the interior of the supernova blast and could begin an uninterrupted journey our way. But by that time, it lagged behind the neutrino signal, which is what produced the gap between the neutrino and optical detections of the event.

Think of it as gridlock in the midst of a stellar rush hour — an obstruction 1987a’s neutrinos, riding on (highly metaphoric) rails, were able to avoid.  The fact that the two signals arrived only hours apart simply means that the neutrinos travelled at or very close to the speed of light — not faster than.  If the neutrinos traveled faster than light – even at the rather small excess suggested by the OPERA experiment — they should have arrived much earlier than they did – four years or so before the light from the explosion.

Now there is a way out of this seeming contradiction, because the supernova neutrinos were significantly less energetic than the ones measured in the OPERA experiment — so it’s not accurate to say that both results can’t be true.  But even so, were superluminal neutrinos to prove to be real, then whatever new physics that might be invented to explain the result would have to do so in a way that still allowed Supernova 1987a’s neutrinos to behave as observed.

That’s the problem for any challenge to a fundamental pillar of knowledge:  if the new observation is correct, it must be understood in a way that accommodates all the prior work consistent with the older view that is under scrutiny.  As physics popularizers always note:  Einstein’s account of gravity — the General Theory of Relativity — delivers results that collapse into those of Newton’s earlier theory through the range of scales for which Newtonian physics works just fine.  If it didn’t, then that would be a signal that there was something wrong with the newer theory.

Hence the stakes here.  Given that special relativity — the concept at risk if superluminal neutrinos turn out to  exist — has been described to me by a physicist friend as more a property of the universe than a “mere” law of nature, it becomes clear, I think why this result is so fascinating.  If neutrinos really do go faster than light, then there’s a huge challenge to come up with a theoretical account of what’s going on that allows OPERA’s neutrinos the ability to race whilst Supernova 1987a’s crew dawdled along at mere light speed — to name just one issue that would need resolution.

That is:  facts on their own are orphans. They require a conscious act of decision on the part of their interrogator to gain meaning.  In an essay published the same year Einstein proposed special relativity, the great mathematician and physicist Henri Poincare​ asked “who shall choose the facts which…are worthy of freedom of the city in science.”  For Poincare, the answer was obvious:  that choice “is the free activity of the scientist” — which is to say that it falls to a theorist to think through how one fact, placed next to another, fits into a coherent framework that can survive the test of yet more facts, those already known and those to be discovered.

All of which is to say that even before the Italian observations stand or fall on attempts to replicate the finding, theoretical analyses — thinking hard — can go a some distance in determining whether superluminal neutrinos prove “worthy” of a place in science’s city.

And that’s the long way round to commend a really excellent piece by Matt Strassler, an old friend whose day job as a theoretical particle physicist at Rutgers informs his recently acquired mantle as a physics blogger.  Check him out — not just this post — because, IMHO, he’s very rapidly proving himself to be in the first rank of popular translators of some really deep stuff.

In the linked piece, Matt writes about an argument put forward by Andrew Cohen and Nobel Laureate Sheldon Glashow, both theoreticians at Boston University.  To gloss Matt’s explication: Cohen and Glashow have developed some earlier thinking that originally focused on the phenomenon called Cerenkov radiation.  Matt discusses Cerenkov radiation here — basically it’s electromagnetic radiation emitted by  energetic particles going faster than the speed of light in a medium (water, or air, for example, rather than a vacuum) — which, as Matt explains, does not violate special relativity.

Neutrinos do emit such radiation, very weakly, but that’s not the key to the argument; the effect is too small to matter for the OPERA result.  Rather, Cohen and Glashow point out that superluminal neutrinos should have produced a different kind of emission that is roughly analogous to the Cerenkov effect — and that each time one of OPERA’s neutrinos did so, it would have lost a lot of energy — enough to register on OPERA instruments.  Which means, as Matt puts it, that

… the claim of Cohen and Glashow is that OPERA is inconsistent with itself — that it could not have seen a speed excess without an energy distortion, the latter being easier to measure than the former, but not observed. The upshot, then, is that OPERA’s finding that its neutrinos arrived earlier than expected cannot be due to their traveling faster than the speed of light in vacuum. Something is probably wrong with OPERA’s expectation, not the neutrinos.

Now this is a theoretical argument and it could be wrong in a variety of ways.  In the comment thread to Matt’s post, the very clever physicist Lee Smolin​ points to one possible physical case in which Cohen and Glashow’s proposition would not hold.  Theory, interpretation, decides what facts are worthy of being known — but theories are subject to revision, of course, and never more so on those occasions when one fact or another stubbornly refuses to submit to judgment.

But what I find so pleasing about this whole sequence of thought is the way it illustrates what actually happens in science, as opposed to the parody of scientific process you see in a lot of public accounts — especially when politically contentious research is involved.

The OPERA team made the best measurement they could; when it refused to succumb to their search for some alternative explanation, they published the result, no doubt reasonably certain that it would be subject to relentless examination — under which there was (and remains) a very good chance this work will be shown to be wrong.  Cohen and Glashow have now offered a formal structure that suggests that what we know of the way the universe actually works presents a major logical challenge to the validity of the OPERA claim of discovery.  The ultimate resolution will turn both on continuing experimental work and on the kind of effort Glashow and Cohen offer:  the hard work of figuring out what it would mean if the result were true — or perhaps better: what understanding do we possess now that suggests the OPERA result is either real or an error.

Contrast that process with the critique of climate science that comes from the Right, as I discussed briefly in my post on Eric Stieg’s rather blistering reviewof the recent announcement of a study affirming (yet again) mainstream climate research.  Stieg wrote, in effect, that the attacks on climate science turn on a refusal to engage one blunt fact:   there is an underlying physical understanding of the basic theory of the system under study:  climate change driven by changes in the chemical composition of the atmosphere.  That theoretical framework determines the course of empirical research, the search for facts worthy of being known:

…the reason for concern about increasing CO2 comes from the basic physics and chemistry, which was elucidated long before the warming trend was actually observable…The warming trend is something that climate physicists saw coming many decades before it was observed. [Italics in the original.] The reason for interest in the details of the observed trend is to get a better idea of the things we don’t know the magnitude of (e.g. cloud feedbacks), not as a test of the basic theory. If we didn’t know about the CO2-climate connection from physics, then no observation of a warming trend, however accurate, would by itself tell us that anthropogenic global warming is “real,” or (more importantly) that it is going to persist and probably increase.

Which is another way of saying that most of the noise from those who both deny  the reality of climate change and would impugn the honor of climate researchers misses the point.  Not because there isn’t reason to test the reliability of any measurement — of a fast neutrino or a tree ring sequence, either one — but because the issue in either case is understanding what we do know, and then engaging the challenge of a new result in that context.

Hence the (perhaps meta-) value of the faster-than-light neutrino story.  This experiment will have to overcome the hurdles thrown up by special relativity’s ubiquitous influence, by the physics of high energy phenomena and so on.  That’s how the process of discovery moves from tantalizing initial impressions to settled knowledge.  Understanding that process illuminates the hurdles facing climate science denialists:  to advance their case, they must reconcile their criticisms of mainstream climate research with the exceptionally well understood basic physics of radiative transfer and the thermal properties of different gases — as well as streams of evidence flowing from direct observations and from the ongoing inquiry into the correlation between evolving climate models and what we can see of the climate itself.

By contrast: cherry-picking dishonestly-excerpted emails is not science.

Oh — and as long as we’ve come this far, let me add a note about another challenge to the faster-than-light neutrino claim that’s come up over the time I’ve been working on this post.

In one of dozens, at least, of efforts to pry apart the actual workings of the OPERA experiment, University of Groningen Ronald van Elburg, has offered his candidate for the (by-many) expected systematic error that could have tricked the OPERA researchers into believing they had observed an effect that is not there.

Elburg has zeroed in on one of the obviously critical elements of the measurement, the calibration of the clocks that timed the neutrinos on their journey.  To make that observation, the team relied on the atomic clocks used to synchronize the signals from Global Positioning Satellites — GPS.  The tricky part is that the satellites that house the clocks are in motion — pretty fast too — relative to the labs on the ground and the neutrinos traveling between the source and the detector.

When one object is in motion, travelling in a different reference frame than that of some measuring apparatus, then special relativity comes into play.  As the TechReview’s Physics ArXiv blog describes the issue, this means

[that] from the point of view of a clock on board a GPS satellite, the positions of the neutrino source and detector are changing. “From the perspective of the clock, the detector is moving towards the source and consequently the distance travelled by the particles as observed from the clock is shorter,” says van Elburg.

The correction needed to account for this relativistic shrinking of the path as seen from the point of view of the measuring device in space is almost exactly the same size as the seeming excess speed of the neutrinos the OPERA team believes they’ve detected.  And that would mean that…

far from breaking Einstein’s theory of relatively, the faster-than-light measurement will turn out to be another confirmation of it.

It’s not as open and shut as all that.  Elburg’s argument makes the assumption that the OPERA team failed to account for the quite well-known special relativistic effects on GPS signals — and while they may have, we don’t know that yet.  At the same time the original OPERA paper reports some checks on the timekeeping essential to the experiment.  I understand that the group is working through the long list of necessary responses to specific suggestions like this one — while at the same time preparing for a yet higher precision measurement of the effect they think they have seen.

But the broader point remains:  experimental physics is (and has always been) very, very hard to do, involving an effort to push the limits of precision beyond any current standard.  Because the effects sought are at the limits of our capacity to detect them (necessarily; if it were easy, we’d have seen whatever it was already) there is an enormous amount of subtle knowledge that goes into constructing the framework of each experiment.  The machines don’t just have to work; you have to understand in detail how quantum mechanics and relativity and all the increasingly subtle applications of the broad ideas play out at the speeds and energies and distances involved. Understanding what’s actually happening at the subtle edges of experiments — even seemingly simply ones — turns out to be very difficult to do.

How difficult? So much so that Albert Einstein himself made an error that is quite similar in some ways to the mistake Elburg suggests could have happend here.  In 1930, in one his famous arguments with Niels Bohr,  Einstein devised a thought experiment to show that it would be possible to measure a quantity to a finer level of accuracy than Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle permits.  Einstein’s argument seemed airtight, and according to an observer at the scene,

It was a real shock for Bohr…who, at first, could not think of a solution. For the entire evening he was extremely agitated, and he continued passing from one scientist to another, seeking to persuade them that it could not be the case, that it would have been the end of physics if Einstein were right; but he couldn’t come up with any way to resolve the paradox. I will never forget the image of the two antagonists as they left the club: Einstein, with his tall and commanding figure, who walked tranquilly, with a mildly ironic smile, and Bohr who trotted along beside him, full of excitement…The morning after saw the triumph of Bohr.

It turned out that Einstein had left one crucial physical idea out of his analysis;  he did not account for the effects of his own discovery, the general theory of relativity, on the behavior of the experimental procedure.  Once gravity was factored into the argument, the violation of quantum indeterminancy vanished.

That is simply to say that the neutrino experimentalists may well have made what seems from the sidelines like an obvious mistake.  But if Albert Einstein could fall prey to a similar kind of error, that should tell us all we need to know about how hard it is for any one person, or even one group, to think through the full subtlety of experience. Which is why science works the way it does, by continuous criticism and self-criticism.  As the neutrino story plays out, we’re watching how science ought to work.

Which, and finally we complete the long road home, is why science honestly done and described is vastly different as both a practical and a moral matter than the masked-as-science attacks on this mode of discovery that now dominate the thinking of one of the two major American political parties.

(Back to 2020: the thread. Open it is.)

Images: Light painting in an abandoned railway tunnel, 4 September 2011.

William Blake, When the Morning Stars Sang Together, 1820.

Jan Vermeer, The Astronomer, c. 1668

 

 

Respite Via One From The Filing CabinetPost + Comments (71)

Friday Evening Open Thread: Rocky the Xmas Owl

by Anne Laurie|  November 27, 20205:35 pm| 49 Comments

This post is in: Nature & Respite, Open Threads

Rocky the owl is released into the wild after stowing away in the Rockefeller Center Christmas tree ????https://t.co/lT153ECukR pic.twitter.com/Fyyxa2hS4t

— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) November 25, 2020

If I know New Yorkers, there’s all sorts of farces / musicals / childrens’ books being written about a little owl with big dreams, who finally makes it to Broadway… only to get rudely dumped back in the sticks of Saugerties…

I mean… does this tiny queen look grateful for being captured?

Owl by myself: A worker helping set up the Rockefeller Center Christmas tree found a holiday surprise — a tiny owl among the branches. The little bird, now named Rockefeller, was discovered on Monday, dehydrated and hungry, but otherwise unharmed. https://t.co/T5tKzC8tOF #odd

— AP Oddities (@AP_Oddities) November 19, 2020

Friday Evening Open Thread: Rocky the Xmas OwlPost + Comments (49)

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