Open Thread: Trump’s A Peach — His Orange Skin Is Very Thin & Bruises Easily

“President Bannon” yet to meet Rasputin’s fate, though…



So They Were Lying About That, Too

Remember how we were told the muslim ban only impacts a couple hundred people max? Good times:

More than 100,000 visas have been revoked as a result of President Trump’s ban on travel from seven predominantly Muslim countries, an attorney for the government asserted Friday in federal court in Alexandria, Va.

The number came out during a hearing in a lawsuit by two Yemeni brothers who arrived at Dulles International Airport last Saturday and were quickly put on a return flight to Ethi­o­pia because of the new restrictions. While the government is working to resolve that case and return the brothers to the United States, lawyers at the hearing addressed the broader impact of the ban.

The 100,000 figure was immediately disputed by the State Department, which said the number of visas revoked was roughly 60,000. A spokeswoman said the revocations have no impact on the legal status of people already in the United States. If those people leave the United States, though, their visas will no longer be valid.

They will lie about everything.



Trump and the global creative class

Richard Florida was one of my professors in grad school.  He was an adviser to a couple of projects that I loved working on and he served as one of my early job references.  I think his Creative Class work is interesting despite significant causality concerns of the chicken and egg and its inability to really speak to distributional issues within regions.

The core insight that powers his work is that it is wise to pay a lot of attention to where people with lots of choices end up and concentrate.  He focuses a lot on younger people who are heavily educated and who have weak ties to their home geographic area.  This is because these individuals can move fairly cheaply and fairly broadly.  A twenty seven year old with no kids and no mortgage is far more mobile than a forty three year old with two kids and seventeen years left on their mortgage.  This is a really smart insight.  Where it goes from there may be another story (bike paths might not save us all).

Why is this important?

 

We’re much less attractive as a country to very smart, mobile international students and researchers this week than we were last week. And I bet that we’ll be less attractive next week than this week. Think about the incentive for a twenty something looking to do a post-doc? They could come here and work with an awesome group but when they need to travel to a conference overseas they might not be allowed back into the country? Or they could go to Canada or Japan or Australia or the EU where they don’t have that new worry as a cost to their calculus of choice.

Will this stop all international brain drain that the US massively benefits from? No, but it will impede it.



Saturday Evening Open Thread: Guardians of the Galaxy Kakistocracy

Behold, the Trumpworld Gamora and Rocket Racoon! Not shown: Jared Kushner as Star Lord, Paul Ryan as Drax, and Mike Pence as Groot, the semi-sentient ambulatory tree who will be used as a blast barrier by his teammates in the event of blowback.
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Conway is never less than excellent at bullshit! She has the best bullshit!
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Goddess bless the Onion: “White House Staff Reminded To Place Lids Firmly On Trash Cans After Steve Bannon Gets Into Garbage Again“.

Reminder: This is ALL on the Republicans. Thanks, guys!



Would I Lie To You

It’s kind of breathtaking how these guys just really do not give one fuck about openly, brazenly, repeatedly lying about shit:

“I think there have been studies; there was one that came out of Pew in 2008 that showed 14 percent of people who have voted were not citizens. There are other studies that were presented to him.”

–White House press secretary Sean Spicer, news briefing, Jan. 24, 2017

Spicer cited repeatedly debunked research to support Trump’s claim that millions of people voted illegally during the 2016 presidential election. These studies do not support Trump’s Four-Pinocchio claims of “millions” of people voting illegally — as we’ve covered here, here, here, here and here.

Spicer claimed Trump believes there was widespread voter fraud, based on studies that were presented to him. Then Spicer cited a Pew study that — as we noted before — does not support this claim. Moreover, Spicer conflated the Pew study with another study that — again — does not support this claim.

I mean, bless the WaPo for trying and I hope everyone in the media keeps it up, but these guys just don’t care. It’s astounding. Al Franken needs to update his book, but it is going to take a team effort.



Pessimism Index update

I have moved from 70% pessimism to 80% pessimism given the fast Senate and House vote to kick off reconciliation and a few other things that I’ve heard that the plan really is to jump off a cliff and weave a parachute out of pubic hair and pocket lint on the way down.



Open Thread: Smogging Up the Hall of Mirrors

Increasingly clear that the Repubs don’t mind their country being run by a hostile foreign power, as long as they get to reap some short-term advantages…


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But the new fashions will be fabulous!…