Can the Mississippi problem ever be solved

The Mississippi problem from the liberal perspective is that the state government and elites of the state of Mississippi has been willing to keep the state  exceedingly poor as long as any surplus accumulates to them and they will do whatever it takes to actively resist any effort to improve the lives of the bottom 97% of the population.  The first Mississippi problem was solved by General Grant and Admiral Porter.

Bill Gardner at the Incidental Economist has a depressing take on the constitutional remaking that the King/Halbig case would argue for if the Supremes reverse King.

More importantly, asking whether Roberts will vote to kill the ACA frames the question in the wrong way, because finding for the plaintiffs in King does not kill the ACA. The states that have already established exchanges would keep them and their subsidies. In the states that have not established exchanges, a Court decision for the plaintiffs would throw the responsibility of establishing health care exchanges back on those states. If they want the subsidies for their citizens they still have the option of establishing an exchange. Some may do this, because their citizens will be harmed by the loss of insurance and their health care systems will be stressed by increased numbers of uninsured patients. However, it’s also likely that at least some of those states will not establish exchanges, so that millions may lose their subsidies and their insurance….

The constitutional outcome of a victory for the King plaintiffs would be a radically decentralized federalism. It would mean that increasing access to health care through the ACA would require political validation at the state as well as the federal level. This outcome would be consistent with the constitutional philosophy that Roberts and many other conservatives espouse. For this reason, if no other, I expect Roberts to vote for the King plaintiffs….

But if the King plaintiffs win, what progressives need to understand is that if we want better health care in Mississippi, we need to win political fights in Mississippi.

Or shorter Gardner prediction — Mississippi will always be fucked as its elites are more than happy for most of its citizens to live unstable, chaotic, poor lives.  Those elites control the ballot box with the permission of the Roberts Court, they control the levers of power, and they control the basic agenda, so the Mississippi problem for liberal ends is an intractable problem.








Gray power and death bets

The midterm electorates have been +17, +20 and +25 points old people versus young people.  Old people want their Medicare and Social Security untouched or enriched, and don’t give a fuck about birth control as they are no longer in the childbearing cohort, and have minimal direct stakes in costs that are only incurred in fifteen or twenty years from now.  They are making a death bet that the costs of their good times today won’t be borne by them as they’ll be dead when the bill comes due.  It is a rational bet.

The younger cohort has been steady in their mobilization.  The fascinating and scary thing to me is the increasing mobilization of the post-60 crowd.  Some of that is natural demographic growth as the Boomers are steadily adding to that cohort every day, but the percentage of possible voters to actual voters seems to be increasing at a higher rate as well.  Throw in the fact that the oldest voters in 2010 were slightly more Democratic leaning than their younger cohorts, and the older Boomers replacing them are more Republican this is a bad sign for the next couple of mid-terms for Democrats.

We have a presidential electorate where the young participate and issues with a 15 year pay-off  horizon are on the table, and then we have an off-cycle electorate that assumes that they’ll be dead in 15 years, so let the good times roll.








Blatant Liars and the Lies They Tell

Remember the Washington Post “whitewashing” of officer Darren Wilson yesterday by Kimberly Kindy and Sari Horwitz? Their twitter feeds have been oddly silent the past 24 hours, and it might be because of this:

But Melinek told MSNBC’s Lawrence O’Donnell on Wednesday that her comments had been taken “out of context” and that she believed the findings could be explained by other scenarios as well.

“What happens sometimes is when you get interviewed and you have a long conversation with a journalist, they’re going to take things out of context,” she said. “I made it very clear that we only have partial information here. We don’t have the scene information. We don’t have the police investigation. We don’t have all the witness statements. And you can’t interpret autopsy findings in a vacuum.”

She and O’Donnell then walked through a variety of alternative situations in which the gunshot residue found on Brown’s hand — the key finding that suggested Brown had been reaching for Wilson’s gun — could have gotten there.

“I’m not saying that Brown going for the gun is the only explanation. I’m saying the officer said he was going for the gun and the right thumb wound supports that,” Melinek. “I have limited information. It could also be consistent with other scenarios. That’s the important thing. That’s why the witnesses need to speak to the grand jury and the grand jury needs to hear all the unbiased testimony and compare those statements to the physical evidence.”

I’ve been asking Kimberly Kindy and Sari Horwitz for comment, but since they refuse to respond to anyone, I thought out I would hunt down the public editor and complain to that person. It turns out there isn’t one. That position has been replaced with a Reader Representative, which is mostly just customer service bs. Currently serving in that role is fashion editor Alison Conglianese (I think- I can’t find anyone after her). I’d ask her, but she seems super busy today:

I’m not a scarf man myself, so I can’t tell you if those are available on Amazon.

Journamamalism.








Friday Evening Open Thread: Find Your Own Pitch, Robodude


(Warning: continuing autoplay)

From the Washington Post:

Christopher Schmidt was flying a quadcopter with a camera attached to it at Magazine Beach Park in Cambridge, Mass., and taking in views of the Boston skyline when a hawk decided to take back its airspace.

Magazine Beach, incidentally, has that name because its first use as a public utility was to store individual households’ and visiting ships’ gunpowder stocks — it being considered far too risky, in the days of the Founding Fathers, to keep such dangerously combustible material in private homes. Big gubmint innerferince!, Second Amendment absolutists…

ETA: Schmidt was on the late local news. The quadcopter is fine (he turned off the propellers when he saw the hawk hit so it wouldn’t be injured), but its battery pack got knocked loose, so he was surprised the video made it!

***********
Apart from marveling at changing styles and mores, what’s on the agenda for the start of the weekend?








For All Your Breaking News

NO NO NO NO NO NO!:

Leading astrologers say that Charlotte Clinton Mezvinsky is destined for a future working on social justice and will enjoy a strong relationship with her proud grandparents, Hillary and Bill.

After Chelsea Clinton and Mark Mezvinsky’s daughter was born at 7:03 pm at Lenox Hill Hospital on Manhattan’s Upper East Side on Friday, POLITICO asked astrologers to weigh in on what is written in the stars for the former first daughter’s first daughter.

“She may not follow her family’s politics, but she will follow the family’s activism and social justice and finding a way to serve the world, following in that community organizing path and picking up the roots of her grandparents,”said Ophira Edut, of the AstroTwins and co-author of the book “Momstrology: The AstroTwins’ Guide to Parenting your Little One by the Stars.”

They asked them. They didn’t just report what some crank said, they solicited astrologers for advice.

Your media at work.