(h/t MomSense)
The average weekly number of U.S. COVID cases was nearly 300% higher this Labor Day weekend compared to the same time last year. The average number of deaths was up more than 86%. https://t.co/QtZdgCf8s1
— CBS Evening News (@CBSEveningNews) September 7, 2021
.@DLeonhardt does some math
He suggests that the risk of a breakthrough infection on any given day is about 1 in 5000
I think its closer to 1 in 10,000
And if you live in a lower infection state like MA or RI, its probably closer to 1 in 20,000https://t.co/lMJO3yL6zb
— Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH (@ashishkjha) September 7, 2021
And 650,000 lives lost in the USA to #COVID19 — official count, which is a gross underestimate. https://t.co/JlfMm6l6tg
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) September 7, 2021
Vaccines are effective in preventing severe disease and death, but 47% of Americans are not fully vaccinated. They are the ones who are driving the current surge, who are being hospitalized, and who are dying. https://t.co/yhqdZrRr8x
— Liam Stack (@liamstack) September 6, 2021
GALLUP: Majorities of Americans now favor businesses mandating proof of vaccination to travel by plane, stay in a hotel, attended crowded events, eat at restaurants and go to the office.https://t.co/3j4LWqE40Q pic.twitter.com/csMkAhqrku
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) September 7, 2021
let’s try it and see who’s lying https://t.co/b09UyJWIfv
— kilgore trout, horse paste suppository (@KT_So_It_Goes) September 7, 2021
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G20 urges COVID help for poor states, but short on new commitments https://t.co/RR056IhP4p pic.twitter.com/ousu7K1PqZ
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 7, 2021
India 'prepares for the worst' ahead of possible COVID-19 third wave https://t.co/AUZu9ES38u pic.twitter.com/m1PtD7AfZN
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 7, 2021
… When Reuters visited the hospital on Friday, its last coronavirus patient was readying to leave after recovery – a remarkable turnaround health experts attribute to growing levels of immunity from natural infection and vaccinations.
But hospitals have learned from bitter experience during the second COVID wave, when funeral pyres burned non-stop and bodies littered the banks of the holy Ganges river, as India braces for another possible surge in infections around its September-November festival season.
Beds have been added at facilities around the country, and hospitals are working to ensure ample supplies of oxygen…
Almost all states are readying special paediatric wards as some experts warn unvaccinated children could be vulnerable to any new virus mutations. States including Madhya Pradesh are also stocking up on anti-viral drugs such as Remdesivir.
But with a government survey estimating as many as two-thirds of Indians already have COVID-fighting antibodies through natural infection, and 57% of its adults with at least an initial vaccine dose, many health experts believe any new outbreak of infections could be much less devastating than the second wave…
At 33.1 million, India has reported the most number of COVID-19 cases after the United States, with 441,042 deaths. It has administered 698.4 million vaccine doses – at least one dose in 57% of its 944 million adults and two doses in 17%.
The health ministry, which wants to immunise India’s entire adult population this year, did not respond to a request for comment on its preparations for a potential third wave…
Vietnamese man gets five years in jail for spreading coronavirus https://t.co/5PBtKqcmo5
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) September 7, 2021
… The country has seen more than 530,000 cases with more than 13,300 deaths, many of which have occurred the last few months.
Many of those cases have been found in Ho Chi Minh City.
In early July, Tri, 28, had reportedly travelled by motorcycle from Ho Chi Minh City to his home province Ca Mau in the south of the country.
At Ca Mau, Tri was found to have lied on a health declaration form which asked about his recent travel history, and also failed to comply with isolation rules.
Local authorities at the time had made it mandatory that anyone travelling from other provinces into Ca Mau had to immediately isolate themselves for 21 days.
Tri later tested positive for Covid, and was found to have transmitted the virus to members of his family as well as staff at a welfare centre which he visited.
Tri was sentenced to jail at the end of a one-day trial, and was also fined the equivalent of $880 (£630).
Australia's NSW reports rise in COVID-19 cases; vaccinations accelerate https://t.co/gK8TqBqOf9 pic.twitter.com/IBY1ecsNdK
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 8, 2021
New Zealand marks downward trend in new COVID-19 cases https://t.co/IZdSkcGPCp pic.twitter.com/bysyF1O1Oh
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 8, 2021
Russia’s flagship airline Aeroflot has suspended several pilots for refusing to get vaccinated against the coronavirushttps://t.co/HOfVcjNq45
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) September 7, 2021
France is the 1st big EU nation to start widespread Covid boosters. A 3rd shot can be administered if a 6-month period has passed since full vaccination w/ Pfizer or Moderna vaccines. Those who received single-dose J&J can get a Pfizer or Moderna booster https://t.co/KVf9GaPQSW
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) September 5, 2021
Bulgaria has the lowest COVID-19 vaccination rate in the European Union, with about 20% of its population inoculated. The government has been criticized for failing to effectively combat vaccine hesitancy and conspiracy theories. By @McGrathWriter https://t.co/diZIK10wjq
— AP Europe (@AP_Europe) September 8, 2021
Finland will revoke the 2m/6ft COVID safety distance rule, and the common joke now is that people can go back to the traditional 3-4m Finns are used to.
— Veli-Pekka Kivimäki (@vpkivimaki) September 6, 2021
Groote Schuur Hospital has started publishing their daily stats showing how many vaccinated South Africans are being treated.
I hope this becomes a standard for all hospitals in the country. It just makes so much sense.
I am also wishing every single person a speedy recovery. pic.twitter.com/TM8BeWYGHk
— Brent Lindeque (@BrentLindeque) September 7, 2021
Venezuela receives first batch of vaccines through COVAX mechanism https://t.co/wwhkIMTj6u pic.twitter.com/BDX0eJHJHj
— Reuters (@Reuters) September 7, 2021
In a world first, Cuba begins Covid shots for toddlers. The island nation developed & administers its own vaccines that go by the names of Abdala & Soberana. Cuba currently is facing a Covid surge. The country has recorded ~690k infections since last year https://t.co/HUekdHTvcg pic.twitter.com/C7ZleB0bWK
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) September 7, 2021
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Are you worried about breakthrough infections? Here’s how to navigate this phase of the pandemic. As a vaccinated person, you should think about a number of variables, including your overall health, where you live & the risks you take https://t.co/nE8f6YgzoV pic.twitter.com/8fGsAoHCpf
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) September 7, 2021
By now we have a fairly decent sense of the side effects associated with #Covid19 vaccines & the rate at which these events occur. What happens if we add a booster dose, though? @DrewQJoseph explores that question. https://t.co/7VbGOWXQqC
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) September 7, 2021
What makes the FDAs failure to approve more rapid antigen tests even more galling is that the test being sold cheaply in the Amsterdam supermarket is the Flowflex, an American test made by Acon Labs in San Diego. https://t.co/lqpLAGBSUd
— Alex Tabarrok (@ATabarrok) September 7, 2021
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“If the crisis standards are enacted, doctors will start making decisions about ‘who gets the most immediate care by their probability of survival,’ with the goal of ‘saving the most lives,’ says Krell. This would apply to COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients alike, he says.” https://t.co/7D2N2qLohi
— Chuck Finocchiaro (@cjfinocchiaro) September 6, 2021
I think a lot of parents will remember this fall as the point at which much of American society, abruptly and without remorse, abandoned their children to a deadly virus. https://t.co/cZXCznULQq
— Bear Braumoeller (@Prof_BearB) September 7, 2021
Almost 25% of daily US COVID deaths are in Florida. This wave is striking because it is pretty hard to go above pre-vaccination waves. It's almost double.
Thankfully has not happened in any other state. In fact, very few countries have had this happen either. pic.twitter.com/d8wrIAj2oX
— Vincent Rajkumar (@VincentRK) September 6, 2021
“Florida is open!”
Ever since this pandemic began I’ve thought of that scene in “Jaws” where town council people insist on keeping beaches open after shark attacks. Result: other people die. https://t.co/s3ycpIB7Jv— David Rolfe (@dkrolfe) September 6, 2021
Where Does @RichLowry Go to Get His Ass Kicked?
Because it's been a looong time coming. pic.twitter.com/bUALdMXJIu
— Peter Wolf (@peterawolf) September 6, 2021
— Ann Telnaes (@AnnTelnaes) September 7, 2021
Probably only temporarily, if true, but:
I want this to be true. https://t.co/iQkCXay0Pp
— Jeff Fecke (@jkfecke) September 7, 2021
Baud
That’s a remarkable stat.
OzarkHillbilly
One of these is not like the other:
Jay
Thank you so much again Anne,
Jay
@OzarkHillbilly:
33.1 million reported cases, not population,
under reported in both the US and India.
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
NYS Dept of Health says 192 new cases for Monroe County on 9/3, 130 on 9/4 and 142 on 9/5, 111 cases for 9/6.
The Monroe County site says 72 new cases for 9/6 with 4.1 % test positivity, which would drop us back into CDC’s “Substantal” risk pool. 61% are totally vaccinated. Deaths at 1379.
YY_Sima Qian
On 9/7 China reported 0 new domestic confirmed cases & 0 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Guangzhou in Guangdong Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 2 domestic asymptomatic cases in the city, both associated w/ leak at a quarantine hotel for overseas arrivals.
Yunnan Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 13 active domestic confirmed & 1 domestic asymptomatic cases there. 1 village has been re-designated as Low Risk. 1 village in Ruili remains at Medium Risk.
Jiangsu Province did not report any new positive confirmed cases. 9 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There are currently 15 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Hunan Province did not reported any new domestic positive cases. 4 domestic confirmed cases recovered & 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There are currently are 64 active domestic confirmed & 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
Henan Province did not report any new domestic positive case. 5 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 36 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Hubei Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 4 domestic confirmed case recovered & 2 domestic asymptomatic cases were released from isolation. There currently are 31 active domestic confirmed (11 mild & 20 moderate) & 23 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
Shanghai Municipality did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 8 active domestic confirmed cases in the city.
Imported Cases
On 9/7, China reported 19 new imported confirmed cases (none previously asymptomatic), 11 imported asymptomatic cases, 1 imported suspect case:
Overall in China, 50 confirmed cases recovered (26 imported), 22 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (19 imported) & none were reclassified as confirmed cases, & 1,666 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 795 active confirmed cases in the country (618 imported), 8 in serious condition (all imported), 390 active asymptomatic cases (358 imported), 1 suspect case (imported). 13,013 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 9/7, 2,119.025M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 5.942M doses in the past 24 hrs. As of 9/6, 1,095M individuals have received at least 1 shot, 969.72M individuals are fully vaccinated.
On 9/8, Hong Kong report 2 new positive cases, both imported (from Pakistan & Serbia, had been double vaccinated w/ Sinovac & SinoPharm, respectively).
Benw
My kids have been back in school for 3 days. Masks mandated in NY, but my kids report that compliance/enforcement is not really happening. At our only BOE meeting this summer a bunch of Trumpy assholes showed up to yell at the BOE that masks are deadly and cause CO2 poisoning and suicide and that surgeons in the civil war discovered that unmasking cures gangrene or something and shouted over the parents asking the BOE to mandate masks (they didn’t, they waited for the new governor to give them cover). 40% of my white-ass, suburban school district are still NOT VACCINATED.
I am THIS close to pulling the fucking plug on the school year and homeschooling. WTF
OzarkHillbilly
@Jay: Comparing cases against deaths. Both are surely under reported but still, it’s apples and oranges.
Sloane Ranger
Tuesday in the UK we had 37,489 new cases. This is an increase of 13.9% in the rolling 7-day average. New cases by nation,
England – 27,545 (up 343)
Northern Ireland – 1748 (down 16)
Scotland – 5692 (down 1373)
Wales – 2504 (down 2657).
Deaths – There were 209 deaths within 28 days of a positive test yesterday. This is an increase of 39.2% in the rolling 7-day average. 183 deaths were in England, 7 in Northern Ireland, 16 in Scotland and 3 in Wales.
Testing – 1,346,631 tests took place on Monday, 6 September. This is an increase of 32.6% in the rolling 7-day average. The PCR testing capacity reported by labs on that date was 687,272.
Hospitalisations – There were 7976 people in hospital and 1062 on ventilators on Monday, 6 September. The rolling 7-day average for hospital admissions was up by 1.6% as of 3 September.
Vaccinations – As of Monday, 6 September, 48,292,811 people had received 1 shot of a vaccine and 43,535,098 had received both. This means that, as of that date, 88.8% of all UK residents aged 16+ had had 1 shot and 80.1% were fully vaccinated.
Rusty
@Benw: For the right wing I have come to believe this is one of the goals, to undermine the public schools. In New Hampshire, the Republican controlled state government has passed what they claim is the broadest school voucher program in the country. That state coughs up very little to local school systems by is offering up to $5,000 to parents to send their kids to private schools or home school. Estimate was under $200,000 to fund it this year, based on those expressing interest it would be over $6M. By driving the mask controversy and providing funding, more parents pull kids, they will be less likely to vote yes on school budgets, and the state gets to send even less to the local schools. The added grift is the no bid contract to the company administering the money, they get a hefty cut.
Steeplejack (phone)
Then and now.
rikyrah
@Rusty:
You are probably right??
rikyrah
@Benw:
Start calling and yelling about the masks. Principal, school district, etc.
mrmoshpotato
@Baud: That is a DeathSentence stat!
Fuck you, Ron. I hope my aunt and uncle’s neighbors are looking out for others. (They’re both vaccinated.)
debbie
@Rusty:
Bigger grifts are on the way: I present Bishop Sycamore.
Baud
On MJ, 75% of adults have one shot.
@mrmoshpotato:
I can’t imagine the howling if a Dem governor had that stat.
mrmoshpotato
@Benw: Holy shit! Where do I start with all that batshit crazy?!
This…
No Novocaine before a root canal for this Dump-humping bastard!
satby
One tiny battle in the war over. All staff at my doctor’s office have gotten at least one vaccination. FDA approval and a mandate did the trick. The doctor imposed the mandate the day the FDA approval was live, and the two holdouts folded pretty quickly; they had 1 week to get a shot.
Baud
@mrmoshpotato:
I saw that a few weeks ago. It’s one of those things being passed around Facebook.
Baud
@satby:
?
Benw
@Rusty: the crazy part is that by fighting over masks we don’t even get to the obvious point: schools mandating a COVID vaccine, same as we do for all the other major vaccines!
@rikyrah: oh they’ve already heard from me!
OzarkHillbilly
@satby: Congrats.
debbie
@satby:
Not so tiny a fight, but congratulations!
Benw
@mrmoshpotato: @Baud: what I wrote required some interpretation from the original crazy-speak.
mrmoshpotato
@Baud: A Democratic governor would never have that stat!
Thank you fellow Illinoisans who helped kicking Rauner to the curb! (Oddly, he hasn’t fucked off to Italy as promised.)
mrmoshpotato
@satby: Excellent! ???
New Deal democrat
Well, the Delta wave *may* have peaked around the Labor Day weekend. *May* is a particularly important qualifier since the daily reporting in most States went haywire over the long weekend as per usual. But the rebound on Tuesday did not recover all of the weekend decline. Most notably, the decline included California, which has been reporting daily. I suspect there will be some more rebound reporting throughout this week, so we’ll see.
In general, the trend continues to be the wave receding in the Deep South, and rising in adjacent States plus the relatively unvaccinated States in the Ohio valley and the northern Plains and Mountains.
Baud
@mrmoshpotato:
Word.
mrmoshpotato
@Benw: Oh wow. ?
Geo Wilcox
All counties in Indiana are code red. I just know my left hip replacement surgery is going to get pushed back. Fucking assholes.
https://wrbiradio.com/2021/09/07/cdc-all-92-indiana-counties-in-the-red/?epik=1631099686363
Suzanne
@satby: That is great news.
Again, if y’all didn’t see this: OH MY FUCKING GOD, GET THE FUCKING VACCINE ALREADY, YOU FUCKING FUCKS.
Matt McIrvin
@Benw:
I suspect it’s going to be politically hard even for deep-blue school districts to mandate COVID vaccines until the little kids can get one. Because if they mandate it for all the high-school kids, they’ll be implicitly admitting that by even opening elementary school they’re putting the little ones in an unsafe situation.
Notice how a lot of colleges actually have COVID vaccine mandates now but almost no K-12 districts do.
mrmoshpotato
@Geo Wilcox: I’m sorry.
Matt McIrvin
@New Deal democrat: I think the low Tuesday numbers are still an artifact of the long holiday weekend. I also think that it hardly matters whether the summer wave was cresting because many, many school districts open this week and there will be a huge spike up, especially in the Northeast.
mrmoshpotato
@Suzanne: I read that yesterday. Needed more “you fucking stupid, fucking selfish, fucking asshole, fucking plague rats fucking fucks!”
MomSense
@satby:
Thank goodness.
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reports 19,733 new Covid-19 cases today in its media statement, for a cumulative reported total of 1,900,467 cases. It also reports 361 new deaths today, for a cumulative total of 19,163 deaths – 1.01% of the cumulative reported total, 1.16% of resolved cases.
Based on cases reported yesterday, Malaysia’s nationwide Rt is at 0.95.
There are currently 248,673 active and contagious cases; 904 are in ICU, 430 of them on ventilators. Meanwhile, 22,701 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 1,632,631 patients recovered – 85.91% of the cumulative reported total.
35 new clusters were reported today, for a cumulative total of 4,995 clusters. 1,459 clusters are currently active; 3,536 clusters are now inactive.
19,730 new cases today are local infections. Sarawak reports 3,100 cases: 163 in clusters, 2,090 close-contact screenings, and 847 other screenings.
Selangor reports 2,989 cases: 202 in clusters, 1,460 close-contact screenings, and 1,327 other screenings. Penang reports 2,474 cases: 166 in clusters, 769 close-contact screenings, and 1,539 other screenings. Sabah reports 2,067 cases: 155 in clusters, 1,083 close-contact screenings, and 829 other screenings.
Johor reports 1,867 cases: 302 in clusters, 864 close-contact screenings, and 701 other screenings. Kedah reports 1,563 local cases: 53 in clusters, 917 close-contact screenings, and 593 other screenings. Kelantan reports 1,471 cases: 56 in clusters, 973 close-contact screenings, and 442 other screenings. Perak reports 1,319 cases: 98 in clusters, 495 close-contact screenings, and 726 other screenings.
Terengganu reports 904 cases: 193 in clusters, 565 close-contact screenings, and 146 other screenings.
Pahang reports 700 cases: 171 in clusters, 443 close-contact screenings, and 86 other screenings.
Kuala Lumpur reports 535 local cases: four in clusters, 247 close-contact screenings, and 284 other screenings.
Melaka reports 375 cases: 76 in clusters, 158 close-contact screenings, and 141 other screenings.
Negeri Sembilan reports 256 cases: 56 in clusters, 98 close-contact screenings, and 102 other screenings.
Perlis reports 74 cases: 43 close-contact screenings and 31 other screenings. Putrajaya reports 29 cases: 12 close-contact screenings and 17 other screenings. Labuan reports seven cases: one in a cluster and six other screenings.
Three new cases today are imported: two in Kuala Lumpur and one in Kedah.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 640,227 doses of vaccine on 6th September. As of midnight yesterday, the cumulative total is 37,071,789 doses administered: 20.8 million first doses and 16.3 million second doses. 63.7% of the population have received their first dose, while 49.9% are now fully vaccinated.
Vaccination of teenagers aged 16 and 17 began in Sarawak today, alongside vaccination of children with co-morbidities aged 12 to 15, the Ministry of Health has stated. Vaccination of other 12-to-15 year olds will begin in the state by the end of September. Sarawak’s target is to get all 16- and 17- year-olds fully vaccinated before school resumes on 3rd October.
Vaccination of children in other states will begin as each state reaches the threshold of 80% of adults over 18 fully vaccinated.
MomSense
AL thank you for posting the video of the ICU nurses. Jackals please share if you can. Apparently some polling suggests that nurses are more trusted by far than doctors and these ICU nurses are the best. They were willing to have their full names used knowing all the threats and bullshit that would be directed their way.
New Deal democrat
@Matt McIrvin: I’m inclined to agree with Eric Topol, who sees a decline for a few weeks or so, as the waning South is the primary driver, followed by the onset of the northern winter wave.
Two new complicating factors: increasing public and private vaccine mandates (especially once decision makers realize that is what the majority wants), and insurers no longer waiving costs for COVID treatment for the unvaccinated (once that fact sinks in and enough huge bills are reported).
Anne Laurie
@MomSense: Thank you! Not everybody who reads posts here reads the comments, but I know (from anecdata) that tweets get forwarded…
Soprano2
@satby: I am seeing more and more bare faces around here, which tells me people are getting vaccinated because of my employer’s mask mandate for those who aren’t. Gentle sticks can work.
Soprano2
Think about the cost of being transported to an out-of-network hospital 300 miles away and being treated there for weeks or months. There will be bankruptcies. I hope reporters go after those stories like they do rural people in diners.
grandmaBear
Dr. DIL tells me they’re finding patients’ families are sneaking ivermectin into the hospital. It’s a cult.
Ken
As I said last night when someone mentioned that Idaho has activated crisis standards for care, we finally got the death panels and rationed health care that Republicans warned about in 2010.
VOR
@Soprano2: oh please. I assume the rapid MAGAts are the least likely to be vaccinated and the least likely to comply with a mask mandate. Maybe it’s different in the workplace where there might actually be consequences, but out in public I assume anyone not masked in a store is probably also not vaccinated.
My second cousin just died from COVID. Her husband and daughter are also quite sick. I didn’t know her well. Her Facebook page was all right-wing memes so I’m guessing not vaccinated.
Lacuna Synecdoche
For some reason, the video at the top of Anne Laurie’s post – about nurses at Maine Health – only has about 725 likes. Having just watched it, I think that number should be a lot higher.
If you can, maybe click on the YouTube logo to take you to YouTube, and give it some love.
NotMax
FYI.
Uncle Cosmo
@Baud: Like raindrops, this Internet horse shit has a tiny fleck of reality that the crap coalesces around: Clostridium perfringens, the causative agent of gas gangrene, is an anaerobic organism – it dies when exposed to oxygen. And some medico may well have noticed that the progress of gangrene was slowed when exposed to air rather than bandaged up.
But as (IIRC) Harvard astronomy professor Donald H. Menzel once pointed out, one bad apple may spoil the whole barrel, but one sound apple in a barrelful of bad ones doesn’t make the rest any better.**
** Menzel was referring to Immanuel Velikovsky’s prediction (in his infamous Worlds in Collision) that Jupiter would be found to emit radio waves – one of the very few things he got right. (NB this is paraphrased from memory; I had no luck digging it out of the Net.)
Robert Sneddon
Scotland — There were 5,810 new cases of COVID-19 yesterday with 17 new reported deaths of someone who had tested positive. Test positivity rate is 10.8%. ICU bed occupancy numbers are 82, while hospitalisations are up to 883. These hospitalisation numbers are growing steadily now, up significantly from a few weeks ago after the general restrictions on hospitality were removed along with the reopening of schools and opening sports grounds to capacity etc. This must be concerning the Scottish government since they have prioritised the health and medical system remaining fit for function as their main benchmark in respect to COVID-19. If things get much worse I foresee new restrictions being imposed at short notice.
There were just over 9,000 vaccinations carried out in Scotland yesterday (Tuesday) with about 25% of them first-doses. This brings the total in the adult (18+) population to 91.4% first-dose and 84.3% fully vaccinated. The first-dose vaccination rate for 16 and 17-year-olds is now 59.5%. The 18-40 age group vaccination rate seems to have stalled out at a little under 80% first vaccination and about 70% fully vaccinated.
The way the vaccination numbers have been falling over the past few weeks indicates that we’ve vaccinated just about every adult who wanted to be vaccinated here in Scotland. The ones that are left, the Young Immortals either don’t care or they are actively avoiding the free vaccine for whatever reason. 16 and 17 year-olds seem to be taking up the vaccine with enthusiasm though.
The JCVI has decided to advise against vaccinating 12-15 year olds, citing the limited evidence that they get serious cases and spread COVID-19, balancing that against the reported effects of myocardial inflammation from vaccination (60 cases per million boys in that age group.) The myocardial inflammation seems to be mild and transient in most cases but it is a real side-effect. The chief medical officers of the various national health authorities can override this decision if they think otherwise but that’s up to them. If the current surge in cases in Scotland could be tied to the re-opening of schools a few weeks ago we might see Scotland break ranks against the JCVI advice.
Winter is coming, still no definitive news about a booster shot program for anyone outside immunocompromised and other vulnerable people. We should be getting first results soon from a double-blind booster trial that’s been running here in the UK for a few months now, that may change things.
frosty
@Suzanne:
Whew, I need a cigarette after that. I passed it along to a bunch of my friends.
Another Scott
re the Rolfe tweet – I recall reading decades ago that Jaws was improbable because a great white shark could live for many months on the calories from eating a person, so one could actually sensibly argue that in real life the beach would be safe after one swimmer was lost. (Assuming there was only one killer shark, of course).
(The New Jersey attacks of 1916 involved severe bites and there’s still arguments about how many sharks and of which type were involved.)
Viruses don’t work like that…
Cheers,
Scott.
oldster
I sent my son the tweet about Finnish social distancing.
He replied that if they every lift the mask mandate, it’s going to be a lot harder to read their facial expressions.
Ken
Clearly you’ve lived a fortunate life and haven’t seen Jaws: The Revenge, where the shark is a serial killer stalking the Brody family.
Bill Arnold
@New Deal democrat:
Please caveat this better; it reads like numerology in this concise form. The waves are due in part to behavioral changes, both regional and national, at the end of the summer. Indoor season moves north, unevenly, as air conditioning indoor season ends more south and heating indoor season begins more north. School starts everywhere. The August work slowdown (yes, even in the US) stops, hard, after labor day. (By “behavior” I mean behavior that affects SARS-CoV-2 spread.)
Wait for the 7 day moving averages around Labor Day sorts of discontinuities, and ignore the short term numbers. Also, Florida has introduced a lag in their reporting which is always under-counted; their graph always looks like it is quickly improving; don’t know how many other states have done this (probably some) but Florida is populous.