trump voters think the president is illegitimate, don’t listen to a word he says, and are not getting vaccinated to spite him because they are imbeciles. hope this helps. https://t.co/FflUeNkLeG
— World Famous Art Thief (@CalmSporting) July 6, 2021
The United States is now reporting 18,489 new coronavirus cases per day, up around 75 percent since its low almost three weeks ago, according to data from @CNN and Johns Hopkins University.
— Ryan Struyk (@ryanstruyk) July 10, 2021
The Delta variant now accounts for more than half of the new coronavirus cases in the United States —52%. Almost all of the new cases — 99.7% —are among people who have not been vaccinated. https://t.co/sgrXdenmLh
— andrew kaczynski (@KFILE) July 10, 2021
======
Opinion: Liberal democracies are running out of time to save the rest of the planet from covid https://t.co/e7RZNI8TUO
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) July 9, 2021
India reports 41,506 new COVID-19 cases in last 24 hours https://t.co/Sg1RbYUtqJ pic.twitter.com/FJ4yNquB6m
— Reuters (@Reuters) July 11, 2021
In India, the health minister steps down amid anger about the Covid response. Harsh Vardhan has resigned as part of a major cabinet reshuffle. Prime Minister Narendra Modi & his govt have come under fire for inadequately preparing for a 2nd wave https://t.co/NQWpxRFKE5
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 10, 2021
Two more prefectures outside the immediate Tokyo area have decided to bar fans from attending Olympic events because of rising coronavirus infections.
by @stephenwadeap
https://t.co/47dhjbqrjq— AP Sports (@AP_Sports) July 10, 2021
S.Korea new coronavirus cases dip from record high https://t.co/yCJlAT9nJR pic.twitter.com/8a72l6QR3T
— Reuters (@Reuters) July 11, 2021
Vietnam receives 2 mln coronavirus vaccines as it tackles worst outbreak https://t.co/BfXsl083xT pic.twitter.com/G27InKciAt
— Reuters (@Reuters) July 10, 2021
This is weird I am told on Fox and by GOP reps that the fascists are the people kindly encouraging decadent Americans to get vaccinated, meanwhile the people actually in fascist countries are desperate to leave to get our vaccine? https://t.co/AZ6ztgg4O7
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) July 9, 2021
Myanmar is facing a a rapid rise in COVID-19 patients and a shortage of oxygen supplies just as the country is consumed by a bitter and violent political struggle since the military seized power in February. https://t.co/AzxciQpxl8
— The Associated Press (@AP) July 11, 2021
Australia reports first 2021 COVID-19 death, highest case number https://t.co/WsSJxX8MwP pic.twitter.com/hZ0XACoNru
— Reuters (@Reuters) July 11, 2021
Arab countries pledge aid as Tunisia struggles with COVID pandemic https://t.co/Qnm3vTI42c pic.twitter.com/K7PIi9giOP
— Reuters (@Reuters) July 10, 2021
Russia reported 752 coronavirus deaths on Saturday, a national record of pandemic-related fatalities over a 24-hour period, as the country battles a third wavehttps://t.co/iDclE75WGC
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) July 10, 2021
Russia’s Black Sea coastal resorts including Sochi will require visiting tourists to vaccinate against the coronavirus within three days of arrivalhttps://t.co/C4OwGkx6Di
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) July 9, 2021
PM Boris Johnson's confidence that England can drop Covid restrictions on 19 July has raised many questions
Ros Atkins looks at what might happen next https://t.co/PO5ezhvTFQ pic.twitter.com/80stWQN1wR
— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) July 10, 2021
After a brief return to pre-pandemic routines, a Barcelona hospital is seeing an influx of younger, unvaccinated COVID-19 patients. Most don't require intensive care, but doctors are treating people in their 20s and 30s for serious pneumonia.. https://t.co/Z2O8kpmZGW
— AP Europe (@AP_Europe) July 10, 2021
New infections in South Africa have risen to record levels in recent days. It's part of a rapid rise across the continent. And experts say the surge here hasn't yet peaked. South Africa has reimposed several restrictions to fight the new wave. https://t.co/MmBrwIowsk
— The Associated Press (@AP) July 11, 2021
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Covid: Woman aged 90 died with double variant infection https://t.co/jEbHTimGwf
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) July 11, 2021
A highly mutated form of SARSCoV2 emerged from someone living w/ advanced HIV. At the European Congress on Clinical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases, scientists will discuss #BetaVariant (1st identified in S. Africa) as a cause of severe Covid in HIV https://t.co/C2OR0FD1R9
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 10, 2021
#EpsilonVariant—1st detected in California—has 3 spike protein mutations, allowing the virus to elude neutralizing antibodies produced as a result of mRNA vaccination or previous SARSCoV2 infection https://t.co/CkGyhq6fhM
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 10, 2021
======
As of today,
4 "green" states on @CovidActNow map
3 New England states & South Dakota!
Why green? Because they have very low numbers of infections
How? Largely from population immunity
Lets compare VT and SD — two states that took different paths to get here
Thread pic.twitter.com/63k0OHyeiX
— Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH (@ashishkjha) July 8, 2021
But here's where they diverge
Vermont has vaccinated (1+ shot) nearly 75% of its population
SD? 50%
Vermont has a high degree of immunity through vaccinations
So how does SD have high population immunity?
Prior infections
Here's how pandemic has played out in both states pic.twitter.com/wYQpEeJ0kk
— Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH (@ashishkjha) July 8, 2021
So both states have landed at high population immunity
Good
But SD got there by having close to 50% of folks infected
And suffering high death rates during the fall and winter months
So yes vaccines or infections work for population immunity
One is much better
End
— Ashish K. Jha, MD, MPH (@ashishkjha) July 8, 2021
Oh hell yes. https://t.co/zfC6zy0C6O
— Daniel W. Drezner (@dandrezner) July 11, 2021
Florida sees 48 percent jump in weekly coronavirus infections as delta variant spreads – @TB_Timeshttps://t.co/36AqR4TDr7
— David Jolly (@DavidJollyFL) July 11, 2021
How many people who voted for Trump have died since November. ? https://t.co/yAEOOOZezn
— Matt Lewis (@mattklewis) July 10, 2021
The tree of liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots refusing lifesaving medicine that is literally brought to their door for free.
— Seth Masket (@smotus) July 10, 2021
OzarkHillbilly
They’re just dying to own the Libs.
YY_Sima Qian
On 7/10 China reported 12 new domestic confirmed & 1 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Yunnan Province reported 12 new domestic confirmed (2 moderate & 10 mild, 9 Burmese & 3 Chinese nationals), all found via mass screening, all at Jiegao sub-district in Ruili, Dehong Prefecture. There currently are 40 domestic confirmed & 3 domestic asymptomatic cases. 1 community remains at Medium Risk.
Shaanxi Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, at Ziyang. The case had returned from Dongguan in Guangdong Province on 7/2, & entered centralized quarantine at Ziyang on 7/4. All close contacts at Ziyang & Dongguan have tested negative so far. Although Dongguan had conducted a couple of rounds of mass screening due to the Delta Variant cluster there in late Jun., there is never 100% participation in these screening campaigns. People who are unemployed or self-employed sometimes forego screening.
Imported Cases
On 7/10, China reported 12 new imported confirmed cases, 16 imported asymptomatic cases, 1 imported suspect case:
Overall in China, 19 confirmed cases recovered, 21 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation & 1 was reclassified as confirmed case, and 559 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 466 active confirmed cases in the country (411 imported), 3 in serious condition (all imported), 475 asymptomatic cases (467 imported), 3 suspect cases (all imported). 7,525 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 7/10, 1,374.162M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 8.699M doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 7/11, Hong Kong reported 1 new positive case, domestic (a worker at the airport, source of infection unknown).
matt the somewhat reasonable
Conservatives are willing to die for their politics. I wish them all the success in the world.
WereBear
We all live in Lidsville now.
Emmyelle
Goddam. Saying that the variants escape neutralization by mRNA vaccines is hugely problematic. Yes they appear to have escaped neutralization by the current Pfizer and Moderna vaccines, but the beauty of these vaccines is that it’s easy-least to re-engineer some vaccines that specifically target new variants. So thanks to the headline and a lot of stupid people, we will have some conclude that future new mRNA vaccines are useless because “Pfizer and Moderna mRNA don’t work against the variants”.
Matt McIrvin
This is such a big difference from the scary numbers on breakthrough infections out of Israel and the UK that it’s actually starting to confuse me.
All I can think is that it’s a combination of far lower vaccination rates in some parts of the US, and far better blanket testing in those countries that is catching asymptomatic and mild infections in the vaccinated that are going completely undetected here. But I’d think there are, say, enough offices where vaccinated workers are required to get tested (my wife goes to one!) that they’d catch a few that way.
OzarkHillbilly
Southwest Missouri health care system is not stable as COVID cases continue to rise, says hospital
Nothing to see here. Move along, move along.
Ten Bears
Fergoodnesssakes, just give it credit for the Trump-Flu Vaccine …
Matt McIrvin
@WereBear: A world of hats that evolved from men??
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Director-General of Heath Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah reports 9,105 new Covid-19 cases today in his media statement, for a cumulative reported total of 836,296 cases. He also reports 91 new deaths today, for a cumulative total of 6,158 deaths — 0.74% of the cumulative reported total, 0.82% of resolved cases.
As of 10th July, Malaysia’s nationwide Rt was at 1.13. 10 states and federal territories posted an Rt of at least 1.0, led by Putrajaya with 1.2.
There are currently 87,841 active and contagious cases; 961 are in ICU, 455 of them intubated. Meanwhile, 5,194 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 742,297 patients recovered – 88.76% of the cumulative reported total.
19 new clusters were reported today, for a cumulative total of 3,077 clusters. 865 clusters are currently active; 2,212 clusters are now inactive.
9,087 new cases today are local infections. Selangor alone reports over half of them, 4,682 cases: 438 in clusters, 2,849 close-contact screenings, and 1,395 other screenings. Kuala Lumpur reports 1,233 local cases: 369 in clusters, 549 close-contact screenings, and 315 other screenings.
Negeri Sembilan reports 541 cases: 124 in clusters, 290 close-contact screenings, and 127 other screenings.
Johor reports 392 cases: 191 in clusters, 145 close-contact screenings, and 56 other screenings. Kedah reports 382 cases: 85 in clusters, 181 close-contact screenings, and 116 other screenings. Pahang reports 300 cases: 111 in clusters, 147 close-contact screenings, and 42 other screenings.
Melaka reports 278 cases: 99 in clusters, 126 close-contact screenings, and 53 other screenings.Sabah reports 271 cases: 69 in clusters, 145 close-contact screenings, and 57 other screenings. Sarawak reports 266 local cases: 49 in clusters, 169 close-contact screenings, and 48 other screenings. Penang reports 243 local cases: 125 in clusters, 60 close-contact screenings, and 58 other screenings. Perak reports 207 cases: 99 in clusters, 45 close-contact screenings, and 63 other screenings.
Kelantan reports 150 cases: 68 in clusters, 39 close-contact screenings, and 43 other screenings.
Labuan reports 54 cases: one in a cluster, 36 close-contact screenings, and 17 other screenings. Putrajaya reports 49 cases: one in a cluster, 42 close-contact screenings, and six other screenings. Terengganu reports 38 cases: 12 in clusters, 21 close-contact screenings, and five other screenings. Perlis reports one case, a close-contact screenings.
18 new cases today are imported: 14 in Kuala Lumpur and four in Sarawak.
New Deal democrat
I would take the article by Delthia Ricks about the epsilon variant with multiple grains of salt. See this much more cautious take:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/health/epsilon-variant-covid-california-explainer-b1878909.html
The epsilon, or California, variant emerged at the end of 2020, but was quickly outcompeted by the Alpha variant. It does not defeat the mRNA vaccines, although it does reduce their effectiveness somewhat.
While I am at it, take the COVID surge in *all* states with many grains of salt. It appears to be an artifact of no reports on July 4, with higher numbers being reported in the next several days. That artifact won’t go away until the middle of this week.
That being said, since severe outbreaks are virtually baked into the cake in the unvaccinated States, the main issue becomes whether those outbreaks lead to renewed caution among their populations, or increased vaccinations among the 10% or so who have been dawdling but aren’t rigidly opposed.
Robert Sneddon
@New Deal democrat:
There are two categories of COVID-19 defined by the epidemiological world, “variants of interest” and “variants of concern”. The “interest” ones are stable and replicate easily so they spread within the population, however they may not cause serious illness in many cases. They’re tracked and monitored as they turn up in test samples as they may evolve into something more dangerous in the future.
“Concern” variants include Delta which are significantly more infectious than the original COVID-19 virus as well as being the cause of serious illness in many sufferers. Delta is now the cause of 99% of new cases reported in the UK proving its infectiousness but serious illnesses and deaths aren’t tracking the case numbers compared to original-version COVID-19 that ran rampant through the population over the winter. They’re still rising in a worrying manner but the slope is a lot flatter, probably due to high vaccination rates compared to earlier times.
I’d guess that the US will eventually reach the situation where most if not all new cases will be Delta variant as it out-evolves all the other variants. If that happens then expect case numbers, hospitalisations and deaths in the US to start on an upward trend again in a third wave. Again vaccination will suppress the curves but they will still climb significantly.
New Deal democrat
@Robert Sneddon: Agreed, with the exception that I am not so sanguine about the UK’s death rate, which appears to me to be following the exponential rise in infections with about a 5 week delay. Of course, if the exponential increase is at a lower multiple, there will be much more of a divergence in the coming month.
WereBear
@Matt McIrvin: Close enough. Back in the ’70’s kid’s shows were sneakily subversive. Because only kids watched them.
Soprano2
@OzarkHillbilly: I’m sure the officials at Cox and Mercy wish they could gag our ignorant governor. He has no idea what he’s talking about, he just wants people to think Covid isn’t that bad in MO, in spite of all the evidence to the contrary. Stupid Parson should have been more responsible about handling Covid. How many GQP voters are dying because he followed Trump’s example?
Soprano2
@New Deal democrat: I think a few will get vaccinated, especially those who have a close friend or loved one die. The rest will not, because their identity is too much tied up in saying Covid isn’t that bad to ever change their minds. They won’t take any precautions either, for the same reason. Tribal identity and denial are powerful.
Robert Sneddon
Scotland — 2,048 new cases of COVID-19 reported, zero deaths (note that Registration Offices are closed at weekends so these numbers may be artificially low). Test positivity rate was 11.2%. 40 people were in intensive care in Scotland yesterday with recently confirmed COVID-19, up a little again from yesterday.
Over 24,000 vaccinations were carried out in Scotland yesterday, still running about one-third first-dose and two-thirds second-dose. The reported percentages for adult vaccination are 88.1% first dose with 64.7% having received both doses.
There are reports in the press that the JCVI is going to be recommending that the Public Health boards should reduce the interval between vaccinations down to four weeks now that nearly nine in ten of the adult population has received their first vaccination. Any such announcement should be made soon.
WereBear
@Soprano2: They can get vaccinated on the sly… and I think many of them will.
It’s an invisible marker, not like mask wearing. They are hypocrites who cheat.
So, I expect them to do so.
Robert Sneddon
@New Deal democrat:
Deaths should track serious illness requiring hospitalisations and ICU bed occupancy (with a delay) but the death rate in the UK isn’t rising the way it did in the winter when case numbers were about the same as they are today. The interval back then was about two weeks, not five weeks.
Right now the UK’s COVID-19 death rate per capita is less than the US with significantly more new cases being reported since the middle of May. ICU bed occupancy per capita is also way lower than in the US — some individual US hospitals are reporting more ICU beds in use dealing with COVID-19 patients than in Scotland (pop. 5.6 million) as a whole.
I put this down to vaccination rates and the possibility that the Delta variant, although it spreads more easily than earlier variants, causes less serious effects in people on average when they do catch it. Remember that an epidemic is statistics.
There go two miscreants
When the holidays come around again, that clove-studded orange in the punchbowl is gonna look a lot different to me.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
My god, they stole this from the NYT pitchbot. Yes, binky the dictatorships are doing so well. Do these dimwits get natural distasters are an esoteric threat to authoritarian governments because it shows their subjects that the authoritarian isn’t all powerful? There is a reason the enlightenment and the reformation happened after The Black Death.
Another Scott
@Robert Sneddon:
(sigh)
Cheers,
Scott.
Robert Sneddon
@Another Scott: Oh yeah, superspreader city here we come. Scotland went through this a few weeks back when the England-Scotland game at Wembley in London attracted tens of thousands of Scottish supporters who flooded into the capital, hung around outside the stadium or packed into pubs to watch the match on TV, celebrated a skin-of-the-teeth draw by congregating in big crowds in the evening, caught COVID-19 and then brought it home in badly-ventilated coaches and crowded train carriages passing the virus from person to person like it was a Tennants supercan. A week later case numbers among young men in Scotland started to tick up noticeably, what a surprise.
Luckily for the US you guys never do anything as stupid as that, do you? The Fourth of July is celebrated in quiet contemplative solitude by individuals, Thanksgiving involves an exchange of heartfelt conversations between distant family members via phone or Facebook and as for sporting events, they are sparsely attended as always. Yeah.
Sloane Ranger
Saturday in the UK we had 32,367 new cases reported. This is an increase in the rolling 7-day average of 30%, but this is a weekend so there will be reporting delays. New cases by nation,
England – 29,732 (down 1499)
Northern Ireland – 445 (down 160)
Scotland – 2190 (down 1026, but see Robert Sneddon’s update)
Wales – Does not report on Saturday’s).
Deaths – There were 34 deaths reported yesterday. This is an increase in the rolling 7-day average of 62.7% but usual weekend warnings apply. 26 deaths occurred in England, 1 in Northern Ireland and 7 in Scotland.
Testing – Not updated at weekends.
Hospitalisations – Not updated at weekends.
Vaccinations – As of 9 July, 45,786,550 people had received 1 shot of a vaccine and 34,541,129 had had both. In percentage terms this means that 86.9% of all adults in the UK had received 1 shot and 65.6% were fully vaccinated.
General – Sajid Javid (our Secretary for Non-Health) has just said on one of our Sunday morning shows that the wearing of face coverings indoors in England would continue to be expected once the restrictions were lifted but there would be no legal mandate requiring them. Not seeing how that works. My guess is that he wasn’t expecting the backlash and this is his way of trying to have his cake and eat it.
Bill Arnold
Why are we paying any breathless attention to Russia’s official COVID-19 statistics? It is quite well established that they are fictional, and suspicions are justified that they are deliberate lies. (The official numbers are used to compare with other countries, so Russia always looks good in numeric comparisons relative to honest countries that have suffered major COVID-19 losses.)
The Russian COVID-19 death rate in particular is has been understated by a factor of 4, determined by looking at excess deaths numbers, so for example they could be fudging the numbers upwards to be closer to reality, whether or not there are underlying increases. (There probably are underlying increases; Delta plus no on-the-ground compliance with NPIs plus a very low percentage of the population vaccinated is a bad combination. And yeah, V. Putin killed a lot of Russians (and others) by stoking vaccine skepticism with way-premature approval of Sputnik V (which appears to be a good vaccine to be clear).
New Deal democrat
@Soprano2: The Olds were one of TFG’s biggest constituencies, and yet 89% of seniors nationwide have had at lest 1 shot, and 79% are fully vaccinated.
Fear is a powerful motivator.
StringOnAStick
@Robert Sneddon: We did quiet, stay at home contemplation of July 4, but husband and I are libs. Plus we don’t care for loud noises and tempting of the wildfire gods.
Robert Sneddon
@StringOnAStick:
The problem for politicians is they can’t stop this sort of superspreader event from taking place, not without rousing the ire of the population and getting thrown out next election in favour of people who will say “Yeah it’s OK to gather together in large crowds in a time of plague because freedom! and rights! and whatever…”
All the politicians (lit: of the polis, the people) can do is slap band-aids on the situation and make recommendations and suggestions and enforce laws they can pass as best they can. There’s an old adage they teach officer cadets — “Never give an order you know will not be obeyed”. It’s the same with politicians too.
Maybe in the early days of this epidemic nearly everyone took it seriously, now they just want it to be over and they will decieve themselves to make that come true.
delosgatos
Argh, idiots using raw VAERS numbers… almost all of those 5K+, upon investigation, are not vax related. MTG is going to be SHOCKED when she learns how many people die within 24-48 hours of bathing.
J R in WV
We have left our house once for entertainment since February 2020 — last May we went to our favorite restaurant for our 50th anniversary for dinner. Oh, yeah, we are fully vaccinated, as are our neighbors, so we went next door for dinner, outdoors some weeks back.
Otherwise only for medical appointments and necessary errands to purchase needed supplies.
And we wear masks when we get out of the car. No July 4th celebrations. No baseball games, no parties, nada.
Jay
@Sloane Ranger:
They that here as well, face masking indoors has gone from “mandated”, ( with no penalties), to “recommended”, even for the fully vaxxed.
As a result, about 30% arn’t wearing masks at all, and of that 30%, 25% ain’t vaxxed. ( less than 30% of the Province are fully vaxxed).
And about 30% are still morons when it comes to wearing a mask. Social distancing has gone out the window as well.
We will be in our third wave just in time for school reopenings.
Ella in New Mexico
@Emmyelle: Don’t worry about the Epsilon variant. We have since found the posted info above about immune response to it is NOT true and also it seems to be going away for some reason
Chris T.
@Bill Arnold:
Because Vlad the Cad has Republican hearts a-flutter?
Matt McIrvin
@Robert Sneddon: My impression is that Delta is already dominant in much of the US and is mostly driving the big outbreak centered on Branson, Missouri.
There are sections of the US where vaccine coverage of the elderly is not nearly as high as it is in the UK, so I’d expect the case fatality rate to be higher. Also, these areas tend to have less testing so the cases that are detected tend to be more severe. This should also have the mildly counterintuitive effect of making “breakthrough” infections seem less common, since, being asymptomatic or mild, they will tend to be missed entirely.