People on Twitter are shitting themselves over the possiblity that we won’t reach herd immuinity. I mean, just look at this map from the latest anxiety-provoking Times article:
In case you can’t read it, the lighter the color, the lower the percentage of people who say they’re going to get the vaccine.
I really wish people would stop using nationwide chloropleth maps to prove things, and I really, really wish they wouldn’t do so with obviously questionable data. For example, you’re telling me that Moorehead, in Clay County, MN, has an 80-91% percent propensity to get vaccinated, but Fargo, ND, in Cass County, which is just across the river from Moorhead, has a 49-60% of the population who want to get vaccinated? Another one: the counties in Arizona and New Mexico containing the Navajo reservation, which has some of the highest vaccination rates in the nation, have some of the lowest percentage of people who want to get vaccinated?
I think what this map is really telling me is that someone at the Times got a shiny new copy of Tableau (data visualization software) and fed it a bunch of data without thinking too hard, and people forget that a lot of the West is big and empty.
The reality, as explained by this epidemiologist on Twitter, is that states hitting 50% of vaccination are showing a big drop in positivity. As of yesterday, New York had 46.5% of our population getting a first dose, and our overall positive rate is around 1.5%, and it’s been dropping steadily. My home county (Monroe, NY) reached 50% first dose today, and according to the Times’ map, 75-80% of my neighbors want the shot, so we’ve still got a ways to go before we hit vaccine resistance.
Finally, tucked away in the last couple of graphs of the story, here’s Fauci:
Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, the Biden administration’s top adviser on Covid-19, acknowledged the shift in experts’ thinking.
“People were getting confused and thinking you’re never going to get the infections down until you reach this mystical level of herd immunity, whatever that number is,” he said.
“That’s why we stopped using herd immunity in the classic sense,” he added. “I’m saying: Forget that for a second. You vaccinate enough people, the infections are going to go down.”
Part of the problem here is that our liberal media have been issued a special set of hearing aids that are tuned to amplify the bitching and moaning of white Republicans, while minimizing the voices of everyone else. What I see when I look around my home county is a bunch of hard-working medical professionals working their asses off to get shots in arms, and it’s working.