Ed Yong in the Atlantic writes about the long-haulers from COVID:
When we spoke on day 150, she was on her fifth month of gastrointestinal problems and severe morning nausea. She still has extreme fatigue, bulging veins, excessive bruising, an erratic heartbeat, short-term memory loss, gynecological problems, sensitivity to light and sounds, and brain fog. Even writing an email can be hard, she told me, “because the words I think I’m writing are not the words coming out.” She wakes up gasping for air twice a month. It still hurts to inhale.
Tens of thousands of people, collectively known as “long-haulers,” have similar stories…They suggest that in the United States alone, which has more than 5 million confirmed COVID-19 cases, there are probably hundreds of thousands of long-haulers.
This is our biggest unknown. We don’t know what long term prognosis from COVID is. We don’t know what one year of COVID looks like. We don’t know this because we only have 8 months worth of data on anything about COVID. We have less than six months of data on any appreciable population in the United States.
Some people are likely to have recovered with no long lasting effects.
Other people still have not recovered to their January 2020 health status. And they might never.
We don’t know!
And this is why the YOLO let’s get herd immunity plans by engaging in mass internal migration and social mixing known as college move-in falls apart on any risk assessment measure. We know that higher infection levels and community spread will lead to more deaths. We can somewhat model that with appropriate coefficiencts for demographic changes in the mixture of infections. We can’t really model long term effects of incremental additional infections.
we need to crush community spread. We need to do that to minimize deaths and to also minimize future long term consequences of being infected and not fully recovering.