“If my father was making the same gaffes as he was, they would literally invoke article 25 of the uhhhh” pic.twitter.com/Ex9p2criyL
— Acyn Torabi (@Acyn) March 10, 2020
Many thousands of punditry hours, untold numbers of blue checkmark expert hot takes … and there was no more accurate reflection of the electorate than a 20 second video.https://t.co/IAyDJpIzsi
— InmanRoshi (@InmanRoshi) March 6, 2020
How many people are voting for Biden under the assumption he'll just call up Obama and ask him what to do in any tough situations? https://t.co/te0MPwWWAv
— Cathedral Engineer ?? ? (@owenrumney) March 10, 2020
Biden was not my first, second, or… look point is he was not my choice. But he's going to be our nominee and we have to beat Trump. There's a great debate to be had about the agenda if we win. But first we have to win: the WH, the Senate and statehouses with 2020 redistricting.
— Adam Jentleson ?? (@AJentleson) March 11, 2020
Biden was close to the bottom of my preferred candidates, so one thing a lot of us have in common is voting for a dude who was not on top of our lists.
But the voters have spoken and he’s our dude.
I want him to evolve on many an issue too, but we really have to beat Trump.
— Monjula Ray (@queerBengali) March 11, 2020
Boy, he's really coherent and has a great memory for a guy with dementia. https://t.co/KyOdVb1sIR
— Jeff Fecke (@jkfecke) March 11, 2020
It's amazing how after a year of wine caves, truancy discourse, Native American DNA and thrown binders, the winner turned out to be the household name who was in first place almost the entire time.
— Malarkey Delenda Est (@agraybee) March 11, 2020
This. Is. Such. Good. News. https://t.co/0tppjhq8st
— Neera Tanden (@neeratanden) March 10, 2020
White men hate Hillary a lot more than they hate Biden. This makes me relieved for 2020 and pissed still for 2016. https://t.co/RiZqjZ5Uoj
— Federico Chispas (@dfsparks) March 11, 2020
Tonight, I offer to disappointed Sanders supporters the wisdom of the late Mo Udall"
“The people have spoken. Goddamn them."
— Charles P. Pierce (@CharlesPPierce) March 11, 2020
In 2024, let's have South Carolina go first.
— Jeff Fecke (@jkfecke) March 11, 2020
God's in his heaven
all is right with the world pic.twitter.com/v8J4UvMyOb— The Online-Normie Complex (@canderaid) March 11, 2020
Karen S.
So… Tulsi’s still lurking, eh? A joke candidate without a punchline, as far as I can tell.
Lapassionara
Good morning, jackals.
About that increase in Democratic Party voters, how much can be attributed to the fact that many states have open primaries and there is not really a contest on the Republican side.
I could have chosen a Republican ballot yesterday, but thought I would have been wasting my time to do so. Notably, I never saw any results from the other primaries on the TV, but I assume the paper will print them this morning.
Matt McIrvin
@Lapassionara: Yeah, I think we’re in danger of being misled here by a lot of November Trump supporters voting for Biden as their favorite Democrat– just as they supported Sanders over Clinton in 2016.
SFAW
Assuming Biden can now coast (so to speak) to the nom, people are starting to talk about how he needs to pick a younger person, preferably a woman or POC, to bridge the generations, etc. I had an epiphany of sorts this morning: what about Ivanka?
She’s young, a “successful businesswoman,” she’s “operated” at top levels of this “administration,” and she’s “hot” (in the eyes of at least one person). Plus, picking her would show Biden’s sincerity re: reaching across the aisle, which would probably get him additional votes in November, picking up the all-important lecherous asshole demographic.
I think if he does this, my nym/nom could go down in history alongside giants such as Bob Shrum and Mark Penn.
NotMax
Anecdotal markets report from Tuesday’s monthly grocery shopping sojourn. Did not meticulously travel each and every aisle, just impressions from quick scans of shelves for items sold out or about to be very, very soon (some of which aren’t things I shop for at any time).
Costco: protective gloves all gone, canned corn and also canned baked beans down to the last few. New, lower limits on how many behind the counter boxes of sinus pills one can buy.
Target: everything appeared to be fully stocked with only minor exceptions. In the seasonal Easter section, I snagged the very last bag of all black jellybeans (mounds of bags of the multicolored ones). Less expensive brands of trash bags noticeably impacted but available.
Safeway: rice running low or gone, same with boxes of all types of soup stock or broth.
Whole Foods (only one aisle looked at as I go there for only one item): rye flour of any type, any brand completely sold out (of course that’s what I was after), all other types of flours in abundance.
Baud
Betty Cracker
Via TPM:
I hope Perez doesn’t listen to this nonsense. We’re not the Republican Party. But a come-to-Jesus meeting with both remaining candidates might not be a bad idea — reinforce the message that Job 1 is to kick Trump out of the White House, avoid tearing down each other and the party, blah blah blah.
PsiFighter37
What’s the odds that Bernie drops out this week? That’s the most interesting question left. I hope Obama and even some of his most vociferous advocates (like AOC or Ro Khanna) do the math and tell him it’s time to get out with grace. It’s time to get on to the main show and bring all the guns to the gun fight.
Baud
@Matt McIrvin:
No evidence of that. People were concerned about GOP calls to vote for Bernie, but there’s no evidence that materialized either.
Baud
@Betty Cracker:
Primaries can’t be shut down. Debates can.
PsiFighter37
@Betty Cracker: Dumb comment by Clyburn, but the overall thrust isn’t wrong. I imagine he’s all too wary of having Wilmer and his buddies spend the time between now and the DNC spreading misinformation and being the same horrible team players that they were in 2016. The sooner Sanders gets out, the better. That said, I think the media realizes this race is over and that Bernie’s supposed appeal to the white working class was all just anti-Clinton votes. No more earned media attention will just reduce him to an uninteresting gadfly who is yammering about revolution to his voting base, which is revealed to be much smaller than thought.
Baud
@Lapassionara:
Has every primary so far been an open primary?
OzarkHillbilly
@Lapassionara: Speaking anecdotally, none. When I voted yesterday the poll workers were very busy with…
Smoking a cigarette. Trimming their toenails. Washing their hair. Changing the oil in their car. Erecting a modernist sculpture honoring volunteer fire fighters everywhere…
We got there at 12:05 and we were the only ones there. The vote counter showed 30 some odd for the day (TPM says a total of 1032 DEM votes in Washington CO yesterday)(which is about what I would have expected)
Chyron HR
@Baud:
@PsiFighter37:
I too am eager for AOC to turn her barbed Twitter wit on Bernie. Any day now, I’m sure.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@Matt McIrvin:
Dude, if you got the good stuff, share it.
Splitting Image
I have to admit I’m a tad disappointed that Biden is the choice and Warren isn’t, but I’m still feeling pretty chipper today. Looking forward to a day and a half without a Democrats in Disarray storyline.
The important thing to remember is that how liberal a Biden administration will be will have virtually nothing to do with Biden’s personal views on this issue or that one, or with his past actions as a Senator on behalf of this or that lobby group.
It’s going to have everything to do with how many Senate seats the Democrats win in November, and how many state houses the party can take. If all Biden does over the next four years is sign legislation Pelosi and Schumer put on his desk and tell second amendment idiots that they are full of shit, he’ll be one of the best Presidents of our time.
Just get him a Senate that will put good bills on his desk. That’s what this is about from here on out. And de-gerrymandering the states the Republicans took in 2010.
Baud
@Chyron HR:
She won’t turn on Bernie, but while she’s committed to what brung her, she also seems to have her head in reality.
I’m not talking about what she’ll do tomorrow but over the next few years of her career.
SFAW
@NotMax:
Although I haven’t been there since Saturday (3/7), “Market Basket” (a chain in MA, NH, and southern ME) has generally been well-stocked. I was a little amazed by this, but when talking with one store manager, he said that they’ve been getting deliveries at triple the normal rate, in order to keep the shelves stocked. [Note: about two or three weeks ago, some of the shelves were bare or severely depleted; it seems like management worked to remedy that situation.]
I have no idea if they’ll be able to keep it up, but keeping my fingers crossed.
Walker
Cornell announced it was shutting down and going virtual yesterday. We had a very long TA meetings and came up with a plan that we think will work for the semester (this is not a lecture class, but instead a high-touch project course). Today I have to convince the students it is going to work.
rikyrah
Good Morning, Everyone ???
?BillinGlendaleCA
@Baud: No, California is semi-open, “Decline to State” can request a Democratic ballot(the Republican primary is closed), but voters registered with another party preference can’t.
NotMax
Well, that’s a new one on me. Just seen pre-opening credits:
Rated PG. Sex, nudity, language, smoking.
Baud
@rikyrah: Good morning.
Chyron HR
@Matt McIrvin:
NO, IT IS IN FACT BIDEN WHO THE REPUBLICANS ARE SNEAKILY VOTING FOR
NO, IT IS IN FACT BIDEN WHO TELLS HIS SUPPORTERS TO HARASS PEOPLE ON TWITTER
NO, IT IS IN FACT BIDEN WHO HAS SERIOUS HEALTH PROBLEMS THAT SHOULD DISQUALIFY HIM FROM THE NOMINATION
I’m noticing a pattern here.
Mousebumples
Open primary in Wisconsin, and in 2016, I voted on the republican side for the first time in an attempt to keep trump from winning the republican nom. I didn’t love voting for Cruz, but I didn’t want trump to win.
… Didn’t work , but I could see some Republicans crossing over and voting for Biden over Bernie as they think “if” (hopefully – when -) Trump loses , Biden will be the better option?
Betty Cracker
@Baud: True, but it would be a bad move, IMO. I understand the wariness after 2016 and share the anxiety, but for the sake of party unity, I hope Perez, Biden and Sanders can figure out a way to wrap this shit up with as little drama and angst as possible.
Lapassionara
@Baud: I know that Missouri’s and South Carolina’s were. I’d need more time to figure out the others on the list.
SC showed a big percentage increase, but the state is strongly Republican. Very red, with blue dots around Columbia and Charleston. Makes me think there were a lot of people voting in the dem primary who will end up voting for Trump, or third party, in November.
MattF
It’s notable how badly the ratfucking ‘register as a Democrat and vote for Sanders’ tactic has backfired. Republicans have, in fact, registered as Democrats, but they’ve voted for Biden. Ha ha.
mrmoshpotato
“And I’m Eric!” -SNL
OzarkHillbilly
Why It Pays to Be Grumpy and Bad-Tempered
So all you happy happy joy joy morning people can just go stuff it.
mrmoshpotato
Oh Brother Charlie. LOL
Baud
@Lapassionara:
I think it’s not a realistic worry. To the extent Republicans were talking about ratfucking the primary, they were talking about voting for Bernie. I doubt there was a secret underground movement to ratfuck us by voting for Biden.
Hillary barely lost despite everything. Still a lot of work to do, but Biden is in a good position.
gvg
@Chyron HR: I think he is trying to be funny.
different-church-lady
@OzarkHillbilly: Oh, yeah, I know for sure that when I can’t bring myself to get out of bed my days are filled with vigor and capacity.
I actually do believe that crankiness can be a motivator, and contentment leads to slack, but come on, that last paragraph is a bunch of horseshit.
Gin & Tonic
@SFAW:
I just read they’re opening one in RI next year (and no, contrary to popular belief, Attleboro is not part of RI.)
mrmoshpotato
@SFAW: Good morning SFAW. Care for some iced coffee – dumped on your head? :)
different-church-lady
@Gin & Tonic: But if RI asked nicely, we might give it to them.
Immanentize
Will Bernie stay in until next week (the 17th?). I wanted Warren to stay on until the next debate (the 15th), but she was smarter than I was. I can see the real draw for Sanders to get another debate in. Then again, he probably will get bar stomped in Florida.
gvg
I just checked the Washington Post and Michelle Malkin wrote something sane. Really startled me and I wonder if I missed something. It is about how people who aren’t taking the virus seriously are wrong and she specifically disses Trump too. I’ve never heard her fable/math problem about the lilypads before.
Baud
@Betty Cracker:
I think Sunday’s debate is the last one scheduled. They wouldn’t have to cancel any debates, just not schedule any more.
SFAW
@OzarkHillbilly:
You better not be putting ME in that group, mofo.
Baud
Just listened to Biden’s victory speech. Best speech he’s given so far (that I’ve heard). Glad to see him stepping up to the situation.
Immanentize
@OzarkHillbilly: Oh, so your name IRL is Zaria Gorvett?
Betty Cracker
So, Harvey Weinstein gets sentenced today. The range is 5-29 years. Hope he gets at least 20, preferably all 29. In general, I think the US justice system is too punitive, but that motherfucker needs to die in jail.
sherparick
The folks at Jacobin and Current Affairs, who have spent most of the last year calling Elizabeth Warren a closet Republican in order for Bernie to “take the Democratic Party” & establish the “Revolution” are all having a sad, and of course blaming Warren for last night’s defeat.
But when you are repeating the same shit as Donald Trump, you in fact may be the problem.
https://twitter.com/digby56/status/1237609360404054016
gvg
@Betty Cracker: The problem is I think Sanders is an instinctive contrarian who is inclined to react badly to authority figures in the party “trying to tell him what to do” Approaching him plays into the conspiracy stories he has been peddling about the establishment. I dunno, its obviously best for us if he drops out soon, but how to influence him?
mrmoshpotato
@PsiFighter37:
Wilmer exits the race.
Hillary enters the race for fun.
Wilmer re-enters the race screaming it’s all rigged against him.
Chyron HR
@Baud:
“I demand more debates! Four-hour ones with no chairs to debate Biden’s failing health!” – Bernie
“Ahhhh no, this is the big one! I’m coming to join you, Karl Marx!” – Also Bernie
OzarkHillbilly
@different-church-lady: Stop raining on my parade Killjoy.
joel hanes
If Joe Biden gets COVID, he has maybe a 1-in-4 chance of dying from it.
Self-isolate, Joe.
Betty Cracker
@gvg: That was McArdle, the math-challenged low-quality WaPo hire who is horrible, but not quite Malkin-level awful.
NotMax
@Gin & Tonic
Maui recently got its first Jollibee fast food emporium. Filipino chain whose secret recipe, as I understand it, is sugar added to everything.
Including spaghetti with a sugary tomato sauce and chopped up hot dogs. Shall be giving it a wide berth.
SFAW
@mrmoshpotato:
WTF is good about it? And what’s your damn problem?
[Please note that I’m doing my best to take Ozark’s admonition (@ 30) to heart.]
The more I think about it, floating that rumor might be a good thing: it would drive the Lecher-in-Chief crazy — OK, crazier — and see if he really IS seriously considering having her as his running/bed mate, as has been speculated recently.]
different-church-lady
@OzarkHillbilly: IT SHOULD BE BLATANTLY OBVIOUS FROM MY COMMENTING HISTORY THAT I KNOW THE IN’S AND OUT’S OF CRANKY.
OzarkHillbilly
@SFAW: I’ll put you in any group I want to MOFO!
@Immanentize: Nope, Gorvett Zaria.
Baud
@joel hanes:
Where do you get a 25% mortality rate from?
different-church-lady
@Betty Cracker: McArdle = “I aspire to be a contrarian but I just don’t have the chops to pull it off.”
Nicole
@Betty Cracker:
Not as a rule, unfortunately, when it comes to sex crimes committed by white men. I am going to guess closer to 7-10 years, with the hope that, as I am wrong about many, many things (see my firm belief back in the autumn that Biden wouldn’t be the nominee), I’m wrong about this, too. I would also like to see 20+ years.
Immanentize
@Betty Cracker: The way he is looking, I think a sentence of 10 will be a death sentence. I am not familiar with the NY parole/good time laws, but what I want a sentence that will reliably keep him locked up in prison for 7 years before release. The jury found him only guilty of lesser crimes prosecuted, so the judge is not going to unload the top line on him.
Will California still prosecute? Depends on the lightness/severity of the NY sentence.
NotMax
@Immanentize
You betchum, Red Ryder. Still bridges to burn.
;)
mrmoshpotato
@Chyron HR: Do you own copies of War and Peace, Crime and Punishment, Anna Karenina and the unabridged Oxford English dictionary to pass the time?
different-church-lady
@Immanentize:
I find this proposal acceptable.
Nicole
@gvg:
Funny how right wingers’ tunes can change when something like a virus, which isn’t susceptible to the influence of racism or misogyny, shows up. It’s like they’re scared something might actually affect them, for once.
OzarkHillbilly
@different-church-lady: STOP RAINING ON MY PARADE YA KILLJOY!!!!
kindness
Who actually voted for Tulsi? I mean really now. I was in disbelief when I saw cars with Tulsi bumper stickers. I’ve see 2 in the last couple months. They both still had 2016 Bernie stickers on them too. But that doesn’t mean they voted for her, they could just be trolls. Or those that voted for her were willing to troll with their primary vote. I don’t get it.
Morzer
@OzarkHillbilly: Have I ever told you that you are a wonderful, inspirational person, ‘Zark?
Immanentize
@gvg: Why didn’t he give any kind of speech last night? That was very odd for any politician running for President. Look at all the gracious speechifying the other people who lost bigly gave. They were there for their people. I don’t get it.
Betty Cracker
@gvg: Agreed. If I ran the zoo, I’d approach BOTH candidates (even though only one needs to hear it) and try to wrangle a gentlemen’s agreement to keep things positive/respectful and focus on beating Trump. Sanders himself hasn’t been super-negative on the campaign trail about Biden the way he was about Clinton, IMO, but his horrid staff and rabid media surrogates are a problem. Maybe he wouldn’t listen, but I think Sanders really does want to get rid of Trump and can do the math.
mrmoshpotato
@Walker: I do not envy all these universities’ tech staffs.
NotMax
@different-church-lady
i kind of expect parents are already being assailed by wails from the rear seat of “Mom/Dad, (s)he’s touching my face!”
:)
Ceci n est pas mon nym
@Walker: Universities and colleges here in Philly are doing the same or at least recommending the online option. My wife just converted her classes to online.
And we’ve only had a couple cases. First one in the city itself reported today.
We’re going into lockdown, folks, regardless of the actual progression of the disease. Trump acting like Kevin Bacon in Animal House (“All is well!!!!”) has probably exacerbated the panic.
Morzer
@OzarkHillbilly:
This would surprise Aristotle. One extremely enigmatic mention of catharsis in the Poetics and suddenly you’re a firm believer…
Immanentize
@different-church-lady: I always smile when you go to all-caps mode.
Baud
@Betty Cracker:
I’m not going to try to predict Bernie’s behavior, but he raises money when he challenges Democrats. At this point, I think his chief concern is fundraising.
OzarkHillbilly
@Morzer: Fuck you.
.
.
.
.
;-)
Frankensteinbeck
I am happy to see the Democrats starting to coalesce behind the nominee. I knew we would.
I do not believe Sanders will concede or be gracious. He started feeding his followers the ‘the Democratic Party cheated you’ narrative the moment he lost South Carolina. I am thankful he has less followers to turn off this time.
Seeing them on Twitter, it is bizarre how convinced they are that Sanders would win the general and Biden won’t.
We will get no break from the ‘Democrats in disarray’ narrative. It changed to its new stage last night: Democrats have a problem with young people.
I have trouble figuring out how much of the difference between Sanders’ 2016 and 2020 numbers is misogyny and how much is people who got angry with him over 2016.
Betty Cracker
@Immanentize: That was odd. Maybe he’ll surprise everyone and drop out this week. He’s going to get hammered next Tuesday. Hey, it could happen! (Monkeys, butt, etc.)
<a href=”#comment-7621010″>@Frankensteinbeck</a>:
<blockquote>I have trouble figuring out how much of the difference between Sanders’ 2016 and 2020 numbers is misogyny and how much is people who got angry with him over 2016.</blockquote>
I’ve been puzzling over that same question.
NotMax
@mrmoshpotato
Gravity’s Rainbow alternating with Ulysses as a picker-upper.
;)
?BillinGlendaleCA
@Betty Cracker: Even if there is a lighter sentence, there are still charges pending here in CA. He will die in prison.
Morzer
@OzarkHillbilly: You spark joy in my life and I am a wiser, better, happier person every time I read your comments.
mrmoshpotato
@OzarkHillbilly: Good morning, you chipper grump!
OzarkHillbilly
@NotMax: THIS IS MY SIDE OF THE SEAT!!! MOOOOOOOOOOMMMMM!!!!!
joel hanes
@gvg:
You’re thinking Megan McArdle, not Michelle Malkin, and while she was right about the pond being only 1/8 covered just three days before it was completely covered, she didn’t actually understand or do the math to see *when* that would happen to her pond, and just pulled “40 days” out of her ass. As usual with McMegan.
Her 8-inch lilypad, doubling every day, would cover a 100-yard wide pond in less than 20 days. If it continued to double every day for another 20 days, it would cover a million 100-yard-wide ponds.
That this innumerate woman was an “economics editor” at The Atlantic Monthly, but can’t do the math needed to really understand compound interest, is … a reason I dropped my subscription after 30 years.
Immanentize
@mrmoshpotato: It is the IT department’s clever plan for full employment and durable contracts.
kindness
@?BillinGlendaleCA: Up where I voted (Modesto) they were just asking people what ballot they wanted. I don’t know whether they shouldn’t have been doing that but that is how it was when I went through the line. I voted against Open primaries and lost that one though.
Morzer
@joel hanes: Gastritis does seem to strike McArdle’s calculator with remarkably consistency.
MattF
@NotMax: Ugh. Essence of bad restaurant food. I suppose it’s a culinary niche. PSA: Classico bottled sauces generally have no added sugar.
NotMax
@OzarkHillbilly
“Don’t make me pull this
carcountry over to the side of the road!”mrmoshpotato
@Immanentize: Is it the 17th yet? Is it? Is it? Is it? Oh that Florida vote is going to be sweet.
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: If you threaten to turn this country around, no one will complain, but you’d better follow through with that threat.
Don Beal
Congrats to you all. Corporate Joe will have our backs now. I am so reassured.
Chyron HR
@Don Beal:
Just keep trending that “Bye Bye Biden” hashtag and Bernie can still win!
Immanentize
@Frankensteinbeck: @Betty Cracker:
I think there is a different third possibility about why Sanders lost so much vote % this time around. First, his young army grew up. Most who were in college are no longer there but trying to live their lives in perilous times. And the new crop of college aged first voters have different agendas. Sanders was the favorite of the crowd, but not necessarily the dominant favorite. My son is an example: 2016 he was feeling the Bern, 2020 (first vote) he was Yang gang tech future focussed, by the time he voted it was either Biden or Warren here in Mass. Idealistic, but not in the old Sanders direction
Meanwhile, all the older voters have had three plus years of Trump who, even if you didn’t vote for him, probably did not seem like such a potential HUGE disaster because, you know, guardrails. So what was tolerable is now clearly intolerable. So get out and vote against him.
geg6
Well, just got a questionnaire from the VP for Commonwealth Campuses regarding my technological ability to work from home (internet speed, etc.). And the IT people were in my office when I came in. They were doing a campus wide survey of who has a University laptop that can be taken home. Most of us do in my office suite. We moved to all docking stations several years ago. I think only our administrative assistant doesn’t have one.
I expect an announcement today or tomorrow as to whether we re-open after this week’s spring break.
OzarkHillbilly
@NotMax: My line with the boys was always, “Sit on your hands!” Worked like a charm.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@kindness: Here in LA, they scan your sample ballot, or look up your registration on the computer and either print you a ballot based on your registered party or ask if you’re “Decline to State”.
SFAW
@NotMax:
Odysseus.
You bloomin’ literary snobs, rejoycing at being able to show off.
different-church-lady
@geg6: “March 2020: the last time human beings had face-to-face contact.”
NotMax
@Don Beal
No one’s demanding reassurance. Anti-Dolt 45 will suffice at this point.
mrmoshpotato
@SFAW: Am I missing something here? Sahara-level dry humor? Biden saying Kremlin Barbie is his running mate, then going “HAHA PSYCHE!”?
Immanentize
@geg6: I am trying to put together two or three quick posts regarding teaching online courses for the jackalariat. Cheryl said I could do them as guest posts. I will try to put an opener out tomorrow with just some basic language and some thoughts about reverse design. Then one on course design and one on assessments. Maybe a separate one on technologies? Or maybe that can just be embedded in the substantive discussions….
I am sure there are people here with experience and anecdotes about on line teaching. But I know that there are folks who just were thrown into this recently.
NotMax
@SFAW
I believe it is called playing to the room.
:)
mrmoshpotato
@different-church-lady: Shorter d-c-l: I’ll fucking show you amateurs!
?
SFAW
@Don Beal:
As contrasted to Bernie, who would have had his own back, and no one else’s.
OzarkHillbilly
@Don Beal: It’s not the end of the world, just the end of trump.
And IF, somehow, someway, trump actually manages to find another rabbit up his ass AND manages to actually pull it out you are free to come back and point and laugh at me. Just know that I will point out that if Biden loses, there is no way the man who was losing the primary vote by over 25% at this date ever had a chance in hell of beating the orange fart bag.
ETA wrong reply button
NotMax
@geg6
Actually curious if there are reports about impacts on, um, traditional spring break goings on.
PST
@joel hanes: Well I’ve got a math problem for you then. If Michelle Malkin were to double her mental acuity every day, how many years would it be before she wrote something reasonable.
mrmoshpotato
@Baud: Death, Baud. Mortality rates come from death.
FlyingToaster
@OzarkHillbilly: This discussion is making me GLAD I have only one kid.
And that the sisters we carpool with on Wednesdays are not evil.
different-church-lady
@PST: Trying to multiply by zero I see.
Betty Cracker
@Don Beal: I’m not thrilled about a Biden nomination either, but that’s looking like reality. So, if your goal is to advance a progressive agenda, what do you do now?
Biden isn’t an ideologue. He’ll go with the party consensus, and the party consensus is behind a liberal agenda. He’ll sign the legislation. We have to make sure it lands on his desk.
different-church-lady
@SFAW: Pft. I’ve read Finnegans Wake in the original French.
geg6
@Immanentize:
For me, it’s not about teaching, thank heaven. But what I want to know is how they plan to get us our phone calls. I can do anything online at home, but I get a lot of calls. Especially this time of year. As a financial aid officer, it’s a huge part of my job, talking on the phone to students and families during the college decision period in the spring of every year. I’m not too concerned about most of the faculty here. Almost all of them, even adjuncts, have online classes at some point every academic year. It’s the bio and chem and engineering classes that will have the most challenges but I’m sure that’s being worked out. And it seems silly, but our campus’ women’s basketball team is going to the USCAA Division II National Championship game today. I hope they stay safe and win.
Just One More Canuck
@Morzer:
OH is the kindest, warmest, bravest, most wonderful human being I’ve ever known in my life
OzarkHillbilly
@FlyingToaster: That’s me, working to reduce global overpopulation one comment at a time.
“No. No kids, we might get stuck with an OzarkHillbilly.”
SFAW
@mrmoshpotato:
I was kidding about Joe picking Ivanka, of course, but I could envision some “well-meaning centrist Dems” proposing something not unlike that. [The whole “reaching across the aisle” thing seems to be somewhat of a fetish for some of them.]
As far as the Lecher-in-Chief-dumping-Pence-and-picking-his-daughter thing: I’ve seen that speculation in a couple of different places, noting that his move to FLA could have been part of that plan (because the Pres and VP nominees can’t be from the same state), and that he (probably) wants a “dynasty.” Don’t know, don’t much care, but it doesn’t take much to amuse me.
OzarkHillbilly
@Just One More Canuck: And humble too. You forgot humble. Have I told you lately how humble I am? I am very humble.
A Ghost To Most
@OzarkHillbilly:
I feel better. But not much.
Immanentize
@NotMax: I can tell you that, because so many schools are probably not going to reopen after break, that parents are ordering their kids home. Almost all of the Immp’s friends have cancelled their break travel plans — except driving to skiing, like there is any snow in the Northeast this weird year to ski on.
NotMax
@SFAW
Biden/McConnell ’20!
(Ewwwwwwww.)
mrmoshpotato
@Betty Cracker: Wednesday morning mention of monkeys and butts.
Life is good.
SFAW
@different-church-lady:
“He’s such a commie, he reads Karl Marx in the original Russian.”
I saw that one 20 or 30 years ago. I’d use it on RWMFs, but they wouldn’t get it. [Plus, “commie” is apparently no longer a bad thing as far as they’re concerned.]
geg6
@NotMax:
Not sure because, in my experience, most of the students at my campus don’t do the “traditional” spring break. Our campus usually has several mini-study abroad programs we run through spring break that, obviously, were cancelled. Most of our students either just go home if they live on campus or work more hours, which both residential and commuter students do. We have a high level of students who work more than 20 hours per week, even during the semester.
SFAW
@OzarkHillbilly:
Outside of every fucking day, no, you haven’t.
mrmoshpotato
@Immanentize: I guess so! MWHAHAHA!
NotMax
@Immanentize
Danke.
Is the ship you and he won’t be on still set to sail this week?
OzarkHillbilly
@A Ghost To Most: :-)
mrmoshpotato
@Chyron HR: Numbers were created so they could be rigged against Berrrrrnie! Waaahhhh!
OzarkHillbilly
@SFAW: Well than, I am very humble.
Just One More Canuck
@OzarkHillbilly: Oh Lord, it’s hard to be humble when you’re perfect in every way
Immanentize
@geg6: Our University closed our dorms after Spring Break. We have a pretty active food pantry for students in need. I really don’t think the dorm closure was the right thing, but we are in the very middle of downtown Boston.
Some of the administrators, like you, trying to bring in next year’s class and keep this year’s students are likely to be still working in their offices. It might be one of the safest places — clean and deserted. But the commute!
NotMax
@Immanentize
Maybe there’s a run on rentals of Where the Boys Are. Spring break by proxy.
:)
Morzer
@OzarkHillbilly: One OzarkHillbilly is far from enough.
mrmoshpotato
@different-church-lady: Reply All will be the death of us as a species.
Immanentize
@NotMax: That ship is, right now, still set to sail. Which doesn’t surprise me because they have to get it back to the Med if there is ever going to be another cruise this year. Also, cruise ships haul a huge amount of cargo paid for by companies. So I am not surprised they are making the cross-ocean jaunt. But the rest of the trip just can’t happen. So I am keeping my eye on it.
Geminid
@sherparick: I think the Sanders fans knew after Super Tuesday he was probably going down, and some of this crap about E. Warren not endorsing him is a retrospective shifting of blame from Sanders to Warren. “If only she had….” Reminds me of a high school history teacher a friend had in Macon Georgia, who kept saying, “if only we’d had another barrel of powder at Vicksburg….”
OzarkHillbilly
@Just One More Canuck: My mother had a ceramic tile she hung over the kitchen countertop that I have inherited: “I may not be perfect but parts of me are excellent.”
mrmoshpotato
@SFAW:
Oh baby, I love it when you reach across the aisle.
Immanentize
@Geminid: or “if only Napoleon had a B-52 Stratofortress at Waterloo….”
mrmoshpotato
@OzarkHillbilly: And modest to a fault!
NotMax
@OzarkHillbilly
Mom gave me gift of a brass plaque reading
Work is the curse of the drinking class.
– W. C. Fields
many years ago which hangs in the kitchen to this day.
mrmoshpotato
@Just One More Canuck: LMAO!
Geminid
@Mousebumples: There are Republicans and independents crossing over to vote for Biden in states like SC and VA because they intend to vote for him in November. People are sick and tired of Trump’s chaos.
joel hanes
@Baud:
80-year-old male.
It’s over 20% for all 80-year-olds, and much worse for men.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/
Baud
@joel hanes:
Joe is in the 8% age category.
GeriUpNorth
@geg6: I can forward my office phone to any local phone number, and can check my voicemail from off campus. We can also request to have our voicemail forwarded to our email as an attachment. Hopefully your system has similar capabilities. There are still issues with returning long distance calls from your personal phone, but you should be able to at least receive calls.
Feathers
@joel hanes: Apparently the more men is somewhat misleading because in China the majority of men smoke, but only 2-3% of the women. Beware the lurking variables!
Elizabelle
@Betty Cracker: I hope he gets a lengthy sentence from NYS too.
And then — more charges! In Los Angeles. They’re already in process.
NotMax
@Feathers
And one of the results of the one child policy being that China has more men, period, which has to skew the statistics at least a skooch.
schrodingers_cat
Right now the mortality rates for the Corona virus are not reliable because although we know the number of dead people there is great uncertainty about the # of infected. (We have no good idea of the denominator) so while caution is warranted we need to take the mortality rates thrown around with a grain of salt.
Miss Bianca
@gvg: I’d be inclined to go Michael Corleone on his ass and say: “this is our offer. Nothing.”
And not even bother to try to get him out of the race. Let him lose and lose and lose and lose, primary after primary, till the big, steaming waft of FAIL STINK drives him out.
But that’s probably one of the reasons I’d be a lousy politician – I’m a vindictive kinda mofo.
PenAndKey
@schrodingers_cat: Don’t most projections have it around 3%? I know the WHO has it at 3.4%, and that’s factoring in likely hidden infections. Even if the actual rate is a quarter of that, it’s still drastically higher than the flu’s 0.1% death rate.
eclare
@Miss Bianca: Come sit by me.
Immanentize
@Miss Bianca: I LOVE this. But as you say, I am not in politics
schrodingers_cat
@PenAndKey: No quibble with the 3% estimate, I am seeing some bar graphs circulated around that say 25% mortality for people over 65. I am talking about those estimates.
ETA: Because we lack tests we don’t know how many people are infected but don’t develop symptoms or get the disease.
schrodingers_cat
@Miss Bianca: Word. Let him lose and let Rose Twitter continue baying into irrelevance.
Mandalay
@Betty Cracker:
Weinstein’s making his case to the judge for a slap on the wrists right now….
(Has he owned up to anything yet?)
Gin & Tonic
@Betty Cracker:
Based on commenting history, I’m pretty sure “Don” ‘s only goal is to troll this blog.
Marcopolo
@schrodingers_cat: While we may not know the actual number of folks infected in the US, I think they have a pretty good handle on the #s in S. Korea & China. And although some folks have questioned the Chinese numbers, pretty much everyone is full of praise for the transparency of the S. Korea corona virus response.
The current mortality rate for COVID-19 in S. Korea is a little under .7–7X seasonal flu. So if you have a good mitigation program, a good healthcare system, and very aggressive COVID-19 response that is probably a best case number (caveat: I don’t know the age demo breakdown for S. Korea).
If you don’t have an aggressive response, don’t have a good mitigation program, your healthcare system isn’t great in the first place & gets overwhelmed then I would think that number would go up a fair amount. Look at Italy & Iran as examples. The mortality rate in Iran was though the roof last I read about it.
schrodingers_cat
@Gin & Tonic: You mean Don Beal is more likely Dmitri Bolshevik right?
schrodingers_cat
@Marcopolo: Sounds plausible.
Marcopolo
@Betty Cracker: While in my state the Presidential primary was the only race on the ballot, I know in other states there are other contests that could benefit from higher turnout (WI Supreme Court anyone? Primary is April 7). I wouldn’t have a problem with things continuing if both camps could agree to run positive campaigns focused on Trump. Of course, the likelihood of that happening is probably negative, but maybe cooler heads will prevail.
MattF
@Mandalay: 23 years (WaPo).
Uncle Cosmo
To steal a word from the MIT Cheerleading Squad**: COSINE!!
Now GTF off my lawn!
** E to the x, the x the x! E to the x, the x, the x!
Secant, tangent, cosine, sine – three point one four one five nine!
James E Powell
@Betty Cracker:
No disrespect, many have that feeling, but I think we ought to set a date – and soon – after which we will stop saying that.
Marcopolo
First of its kind large scale politics poll of inmate populations across the country. No surprise: a lot of criminals support fellow criminal D. Trump.
Marcopolo
Weinstein sentenced to 23 years! Justice served!
Uncle Cosmo
@joel hanes: IIRC, there is some scientific evidence that the prime cause of death in oldsters is that this stuff, like SARS, is pretty good at crossing the blood-brain barrier & colonizing the central nervous system, where it blocks the breathing reflex. This would explain the need for respirators.
I wonder if some technology might come to the rescue here. A couple years back I enrolled in a study of diabetics with sleep apnea, & an early step was to wire me up with a box that detects when you stop breathing & have me sleep with it overnight to see if I qualified. Again IIRC, the box kept a record internally that was read when I came back in.
Sounds like it wouldn’t be hard to modify the hardware & software to (gently) zap the wearer (“joy buzzer” on the finger?) when s/he hasn’t breathed for X seconds. It’d disturb one’s sleep but when breaths are few & far between, no one gets decent sleep.
I also wonder if a combination of OTC decongestant (Flonase, Nasacort, etc.) and CPAP might be pressed into service early in the course of the disease as a way to reduce respirator/ICU demands.
MCA1
@Miss Bianca: I don’t think anyone even needs to approach him that way. In fact, it risks him going scorched earth against The Establishment if he perceives forces trying to tell him what to do.
You’re right on about the stink of losing, and it’s already emanating from him. The media’s started treating him like he’s past his sell-by date, especially after last night, and that perception is a couple steps behind where Democratic voters seem to be.
Sanders knows this, too. Consider: he gave no speech last night, not even via remote. And he lost Michigan, the state that more than any other made his ’16 candidacy seem like a legitimate threat to Clinton (which, incidentally, allowed him to hang on way too long). And he didn’t just lose it – he lost it by close to 20 points. He’s a dead man walking in this race.
Contrary to four years ago, when he was on the upward path of his arc as a national figure and it benefited him to keep his name and face out there, every day he stays in this race now he increases his risk of being embarrassed or, worse, rendered irrelevant going forward. He also knows he’ll be persona non grata with a much larger swath of the country if he sticks around to do anything other than create a glide path for his supporters to move over to Biden.
He may think he can pull off a miracle debate this weekend and turn things around as quickly as Biden did, but he’s seen the polling in Florida, and he’s not innumerate. I would not be shocked if he pulls out as early as tomorrow.
Uncle Cosmo
Good luck with that. A few threads back I remarked that the reaction here to EW’s crash&burn called to mind that of Adlai Stevenson supporters in 1952 when he was crushed by Eisenhower (442-89 in the EC).
The rest of the story is that four years later, Stevenson’s faithful Democrats got him nominated for a rematch with Ike – which he lost even more resoundingly (EC: 457-73). There was even a short-lived boomlet for Adlai at the 1960 Democratic National Convention (which might have gotten more traction if he’d announced his candidacy before many sympathetic delegates were committed to others).
Dreams die hard, often kicking & screaming on the way down.
PST
@Uncle Cosmo:
Good thought, but I don’t think it would work. The basic difference between a respirator and CPAP is that a respirator blows and sucks while CPAP just blows. It treats what they call obstructive apnea events by generating enough pressure in the throat to keep flabby tissue from collapsing. The analogy, lost on young people, was to old paper straws, which would sometimes collapse while you were drinking, and sucking harder only made it worse. But there is another kind of apnea event, a central apnea, caused by the central nervous system failing to send a signal to breathe. And it turns out that CPAP can aggravate these. That is one reason for testing people before prescribing CPAP. Someone with central apnea needs what is in effect a respirator. I should add that my medical degree is self-awarded based on home study.
glory b
@MCA1: I was listening to some political number cruncher this morning who said that Bernie’s problem is that he can’t just win the upcoming states, he needs a blowout victory in them. These are also states that he lost before and frankly, he’s been significantly under performing from 2016, something that’s not being specifically pointed out IMO.
glory b
@James E Powell: Amen! Can we just stop? It’s sounding a little “pure” by now.
KrackenJack
@NotMax: if it’s like the ones in Cali, they have the authentic slow fast food experience. The ChickenJoy is okay. Skip the YumBurger. There was a Filipino food truck over in Lahaina. That was a better option.