The smart money had been on Dan Coats, but this Politico article makes a good case to move Wilbur Ross to #1 in the dead pool (not literally dead — politically deceased):
Constant infighting among top officials. Sudden departures of senior staffers without explanation. A leader who is disengaged and prone to falling asleep in meetings.
The Commerce Department has reached its apex of dysfunction under Wilbur Ross, according to four people with knowledge of the inner workings of the department. The 81-year-old Commerce secretary, who has for months endured whispers that he is on the outs, spends much of his time at the White House to try to retain President Donald Trump’s favor, the sources said, leaving his department adrift.
He’s hardly the only top Trump official to seek the president’s approval. But department insiders say they’ve rarely seen Commerce so rudderless — and they say Ross’ penchant for managing upward at the expense of his staff is leading to what one plugged-in observer described as “a disaster over there.”
Trump’s cabinet has higher turnover than a Burger King (not to mention lower hiring standards). But it won’t be Ross’s lousy leadership that gets him voted off the island. If Ross gets shit-canned, it’ll probably be something like this:
Ross’ relationship with the White House and with Trump was also damaged by stories that came out in the past 18 months showing that he wasn’t as rich as he had claimed…
Or maybe bungling the census heist will be the final straw. In a normal administration, Ross would have resigned in disgrace weeks ago when it was revealed that Ross’s aide and a DoJ operative lied in court and to Congress about the origins of the citizenship question. But the scale of corruption in this cabinet is so off the charts that mere perjury during the course of carrying out official business elicits yawns.