That’s one well endowed weather map if you know what I mean. And I think you do…
We're keeping a close eye on potential tropical or subtropical cyclone activity early next week over the Gulf of Mexico. The ECMWF model indicates up to a 30% chance for the formation of a trop. depression. Nonetheless, this will be a weak storm and heavy rain is the main risk. pic.twitter.com/l8yERH9S5t
— Hurricane Tracker App (@hurrtrackerapp) May 12, 2018
Here’s the rundown from Earther, but to be honest, I was just looking for an excuse to post the strangely suggestive weather map tweet…
We’re still a few weeks out from the official start of hurricane season, but tropical cyclones don’t care much for regulation. That’s why there’s a small chance one could spin up off the Florida Panhandle this week.
A large, low pressure area filled with clouds and thunderstorms has developed across the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, and it’s marching slowly northward toward the west coast of Florida. As it moves across warm Gulf waters and gathers strength over the next 48 hours, it has about a 30 percent chance of getting organized into a cyclone.
Over the next five days, those odds rise to 40 percent, according to the National Weather Service.
Weather Underground meteorologist Bob Henson told Earther that in all likelihood, any cyclone that does form would be classified a tropical or subtropical depression, with maximum sustained winds of 38 mph or less. But, he added, there’s a “small chance” of a named tropical or subtropical storm, one featuring wind speeds of 39—73 mph.
“I wouldn’t rule it out, it’s just on the lower side of the probabilities,” Henson said, noting that water temperatures are a bit marginal right now.
Regardless of how fierce the storm gets, Floridians are going to feel it. The entire Florida Peninsula could be in for heavy rainfall this week, with eastern Florida around Kennedy Space Center expected to see up to seven inches of precipitation. And that’s not necessarily a bad thing—central and South Florida are coming off a particularly dry dry season, with more than 30 percent of the state in moderate to severe drought as of May 8.