Let the triaging begin!
Via The Hill:
Two prominent groups that back Republican candidates are scrapping millions of dollars in advertisements aimed at bolstering vulnerable Sen. Ron Johnson (R-Wis.) in the fall, as polls show him trailing former Sen. Russ Feingold (D).
The National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) has pushed back reservations for pro-Johnson advertisements. Once set to begin in early August, the ads are now scheduled to run in October.
There are two take-aways. The first is that Johnson is cooked and the national Republican mobile money is moving to races that they have a chance in. Secondly, the amount of money is not huge and the triaging is early, so is it an indicator that the national Republican mobile money is more constrained than normal? Are the early spring brags that the big money donors would shift everything down ticket instead of top of the ticket full of hot air?
So Wisconsin is a highly likely Democratic pick-up instead of just a likely Democratic pick-up and we get Senator Feingold back. That means three more seats for a tie with a VP nudge or four more seats for a clear majority.
As a side note, given that Wisconsin is a third tier swing state, there is no Republican presidential ground game in Wisconsin, and now there is a written off Senate race. The highest profile contested races for Republicans which may have ground level organization are the House seats. Can Dems run up the score?