For those who just can’t be bothered, here’s the world’s laziest wolf who can’t be bothered getting up and actually responding to the other wolves.
Archives for June 2016
Christion’s father died last night and we just found out early afternoon, so I’m going to be scarce for a few days.
— Dave Levinthal (@davelevinthal) June 30, 2016
— Dave Levinthal (@davelevinthal) June 30, 2016
It’s difficult to take a candidate seriously on campaign finance reform when he finds every excuse not to provide his financial information.
— Jamil Smith (@JamilSmith) June 30, 2016
Hilbot though I be, I seriously doubt there’s anything revelatory in the Sanders campaign finances beyond their embarrassing amateurism. The Senator has been puttering happily along in his Green Mountain fiefdom for many years, from the evidence so far on the record-keeping equivalent of a three-ring binder ledger and a cigar box marked Petty Cash. It’s never been a big deal for his staff to back-reconcile a bunch of line items for Misc and Other at the end of the financial year. And a government salary that seems paltry to Congressfolk from states like New York or California is comparative wealth in poor underpopulated Vermont — unless he’s made some spectacularly bad investments or nursed some unsuspected high-dollar addiction, Bernie’s no doubt set aside a tidy sum for his retirement and his kids. Knowledgeable numbers people have speculated he might even be a millionaire, on paper… no crime, even for a politician, but an embarrassing reveal for someone running as The Populist Peoples’ Candidate.
Bernie never expected his campaign to go beyond drawing attention to his favorite issues; he certainly didn’t prepare in advance for the scrutiny that comes with a real presidential campaign. His troops were heavy on enthusiasm, light on experience / expertise. There’s bound to be a certain amount of under-documentation, some questionable overspending, maybe even a little of the impulsive hand-in-the-cash-drawer minor splurges that drew so much attention to the Palin family in the summer of 2008. Nothing — up till now — that would draw more than a stern rebuke and maybe some fines from the FEC…
VP Biden in sit down interview with us just now: "I've talked to Bernie. Bernie is going to endorse her." @NPRWeekend
— Rachel Martin (@rachelnpr) June 30, 2016
In today’s Washington Post, an op-ed from William M. Daley, “former commerce secretary [under Bill Clinton] and White House chief of staff [to President Obama]”, “Bernie Sanders’s stubbornness is a big mistake” —
Bernie Sanders is making a big and potentially dangerous mistake with his continuing insistence on changes to the Democratic Party’s rules and platform. I should know. As chairman of Al Gore’s 2000 presidential campaign, I understand too well where such ideological stubbornness can lead.
Back then, many progressives insisted on backing third-party candidate Ralph Nader despite warnings it would undercut the Democratic nominee. Nader received 97,421 votes in Florida, which Gore lost by 537 votes. The result? President George W. Bush, who championed ill-advised tax cuts, the invasion of Iraq and other actions we now deeply regret.
Sanders made an energetic bid for the Democratic nomination, drawing big crowds and fueling debates on important topics such as income disparity. Although he lost to Hillary Clinton, Sanders is pushing his agenda to the party convention and insisting on “reforms” in a Democratic nominating process he describes as seriously defective.
Sanders is wrong to suggest the Democratic Party’s nominating system is seriously defective. It isn’t. It’s eminently fair to let party members (i.e., registered Democrats) select the nominee, and to give party loyalists and elected officials (superdelegates) a modestly bigger say…
Key Democratic constituencies, including the Congressional Black Caucus and Congressional Hispanic Caucus, strongly support superdelegates. “Our delegate selection process is not rigged,” Rep. James E. Clyburn (S.C.), a senior leader of the Black Caucus, wrote in a letter to colleagues. “It is transparent to the public and open for participation.”
… Democrats have won the popular vote in five of the last six presidential elections. In 2008, after losing a hard-fought primary to Barack Obama, Clinton promptly endorsed him and campaigned for him. In contrast, Sanders — who refused to even call himself a Democrat until this election — has yet to endorse Clinton. He says she, not he, is responsible for persuading his supporters to back her.
Every vote counts. Sanders should accept the primary outcome and enthusiastically rally his supporters to Clinton’s side to avoid a catastrophic Donald Trump presidency.
… Hicks is a product not of Washington but of the Trump Organization, a marble-walled universe where one’s delightful agreeability and ferocious loyalty are worth more than conventional experience. She is a hugger and a people pleaser, with long brown hair and green eyes, a young woman of distinctly all-American flavor — the sort that inspires Tom Petty songs, not riots. And yet Hicks has, almost by accident, helped architect the strangest and least polite campaign in modern American history.
I wanted Hicks to help me understand just how all this had come to pass, how a person who’d never worked in politics had nonetheless become the most improbably important operative in this election. But she declined my request to talk. Instead, she arranged something more surreal: I could talk about her with Donald Trump, in front of her.
Trump, of course, has little experience with subjects other than Trump, which he made clear when I asked him about Hicks’s quick ascent to his inner circle. “Bill O’Reilly last night said it is the greatest political event in his lifetime,” Trump said, exaggerating O’Reilly’s point. “The most incredible political event in his lifetime! That’s pretty big. You know, who knew this was going to happen? So…” He pivoted, reluctantly, to the topic at hand. “Hope’s been involved from the beginning, and she has been absolutely terrific.”
Hicks’s job—a sui generis role of outsize importance that she half invents on the fly—involves keeping the media at bay and operating as Trump’s chief gatekeeper. But she’s also summoned in critical moments of confusion to play instigator and score-settler. It was her job to facilitate Trump’s rebuke of the Pope after His Holiness questioned the Christianity of anybody who would build a border wall (kind of Trump’s thing). And it was she who helped malign a female reporter who’d been manhandled by Trump’s campaign manager, immediately claiming she was a lying attention hound. Hicks was also called on this spring to explain why Trump, over the course of three days, advocated four positions on abortion. She tried without success to quell the confusion, declaring, finally, that President Trump would end abortion, simple as that: “He will change the law through his judicial appointments and allow the states to protect the unborn.”…
Hicks’s big job in politics started—not that long ago—with a comparatively tiny gig in Trump Tower. In 2012, two years after she’d graduated from Southern Methodist, Hicks was working for a New York PR shop when she was dispatched to help one of the firm’s major clients: Ivanka Trump. At the time, Trump’s daughter was expanding her fashion line, and Hicks was enlisted to pitch in—and even do a bit of modeling, appearing online in a practical mint-colored dress, black clutch, and heels, all from the Ivanka Trump collection.
This photo is all over twitter and FB. It is so much win.
I’m sitting here waiting for my final paperwork for the house to arrive via email. Everything is done, closing is set, boxes are beginning to fill and pile up on any open floor space. I have a running list that seems to only get longer.
Bixby is very excited with the new house (we are watering because the seller has moved out of state, so the real estate agent and I are taking turns). As you can see, Bixby is helping water, too.
I will have recipes for you tomorrow – I’m actually going to a 4th of July cookout on Monday, between working and packing – so I had to go recipe hunting anyway.
Ok, how would you caption the photo at top of post? Consider this an open thread.
ETA: If you haven’t see Fiesta the Llama enjoying a good romp with a leaf blower, you should probably click here.
Just left McCain fundraiser in DC. Happy to donate. But question occurred to me –why Senate reelection? Why not an indie run for President?
— Bill Kristol (@BillKristol) June 27, 2016
All right, we've had our fun, but the Bill Kristol meme has gone too far. https://t.co/ttNvO7rVWc
— Virginia Dare (@vdare) June 28, 2016
Dude must be aware that his predictions have become a standing joke, right? When even the VDare white supremacists start rolling their eyes, surely Bill ‘Always Rong’ Kristol must realize he’s worn out his patter, right?
You’d think he’d step aside, if only for the sake of the rising generation of Repub japesters…
— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur) June 29, 2016
And I want to win the lottery, if only I could remember to buy the tickets. My chances, still better!
Apart from mocking the Repubs, what’s on the agenda for the evening?
Did Donald Trump use a secret phone console to listen in on guest and employee calls at his Mar-A-Lago resort? Probably! Via Buzzfeed:
At Mar-a-Lago, the Palm Beach resort he runs as a club for paying guests and celebrities, Donald Trump had a telephone console installed in his bedroom that acted like a switchboard, connecting to every phone extension on the estate, according to six former workers…
BuzzFeed News spoke with six former employees familiar with the phone system at the estate. Four of them — speaking on condition of anonymity because they signed nondisclosure agreements — said that Trump listened in on phone calls at the club during the mid-2000s. They did not know if he eavesdropped more recently….
“He listened in,” said one source with deep knowledge of the working of the phones and Trump’s phone use. This person added that workers were told to be aware of it. For example, this source recalled a time when a staff member was on the phone with a club member. During the phone call, Trump called the staff member on another line to weigh in on the very issue that was being discussed. “There is no other way you could know what that conversation was about unless you were eavesdropping,” this source said.
A second source said he had direct knowledge that Trump “could pick up the phone in the bedroom and listen to any conversation that was going on.” This person said Trump used it “to eavesdrop.” This source said that some staff, who used a separate switchboard, knew when Trump was listening in on calls, because when he did, a light on that switchboard would come on…
The two former Mar-a-Lago officials who said there was no eavesdropping acknowledge that there was a switchboard in Trump’s room. One, who left Mar-a-Lago last year to pursue real estate, is John Velez, the former Mar-a-Lago director of security. “He had a switchboard,” Velez said, but “the switchboard is just for him to dial out.”
Velez called it “ridiculous” that Trump could listen in on phone calls. Instead, Velez said, Trump used the console just so that he would not have to use a dial pad or call the operator. “Trying to remember extensions to every suite is impossible,” he said.
Yeah…it makes a lot more sense to install a console with a line to every suite instead of issuing a phone directory.
[T]he tycoon’s former butler, Anthony Senecal…maintains that this was for simplicity’s sake. “A lot of his friends stayed at Mar-a-Lago and he didn’t want to go through the front desk.”
Senecal said he did not know whether the phone could be used by Trump to eavesdrop on calls. “As far as listening in I can’t believe he would ever do that. I don’t know that he ever did that. I can’t see him doing that.”
Yeah, the insane racist butler is totally credible. Damn, Trump is one creepy mofo.
Will Cristiano Ronaldo be a Portuguese hero? Will Robert Lewandowski finally wake up?
Political correctness has imposed a terrible burden on wingnuts. First PC demanded that they stop openly treating minorities and women as ignorant savages and children or risk social censure. Then it required them to bake cakes or pizzas for icky gays.
And now it demands that they relieve themselves inside a public restroom facility that may or may not contain a transgender person. That’s a pissoir too far for conservative radio personality and Fox News contributor Laura Ingraham, who stands athwart an incontinence pad, yelling PEE-PEE!
Oh we have a new transgender update for you as well. Oh no new transgender news for all of you who are bathroom-goers and public — you use public restrooms? I think a lot of people are going to be walking around with just Depends on from now on. They’re just not going to use the bathroom. Adult diapers, diapers for everybody. No one’s going to be going to the bathroom. You have little kids, there’s going to be no bathrooms. We’re just going to all wear Depends. Everyone will just be happy. Then you’ll be in your own bathroom. Everyone’s bathroom is just their own clothes, OK? So this is what we’re going to go to.
Sounds like an ideal solution to me — let sane people have the bathrooms while deranged bigots like Ingraham and her listeners marinate in their own bodily waste. Not only would this approach be über-convenient for staunch conservatives like “Diaper Dave” Vitter, it would bring a pair of metaphors to life as grownup conservative crybabies skulk around public places developing literal butt-hurt in the form of diaper rash. Win-win!
So, one competition is over (Cope America) and another (Euro 2016) is starting the quarter-finals . Here are a few thoughts.
1.) Leo Messi is getting heat because he wants to quit the international game. I really believe that the anger is misdirected. To begin with, Messi has one title that no Brazilian footballer has: an Olympic gold medal. Bear in mind that Argentina’s trophy drought for titles in competitions without age restrictions goes back to 1993, when Messi was six. Also, there appears to be more to it than that.
2.) Brazil, while Tite has a good record, why not, FFS, consider someone outside of Brazil? I had this discussion with my brother-in-law, who said, “No, we made football great.” I pointed out to him that they keep recycling the same coaches in and out. I also pointed out to him some of the requirements that UEFA has of its coaches to get a license and that CONMEBOL is just starting to implement requirements. He was astonished. Swallow your pride, Brazil. it’s taken a pretty big beating recently anyway.
3.) Speaking of Brazil, how did the CBF (Brazilian Football Confederation) let Eder slip through their fingers to Italy? He’s been a revelation for the Azurri.
4.) Speaking of the Azurri, Antonio Conte’s tactical wizardry is impressive. I write this and Arsenal fan, but it appears that Chelsea made a good choice.
5.) From 2008 to 2012, what made Spain’s midfield dominant was iniesta AND Xavi, not Iniesta AND Fabregas.
6.) Jürgen Klinsmann is getting heat for Argentina’s whipping of the USA in the Copa America, but did anyone seriously believe that the USA would win? In any case, I believe that Klinsmann deserves credit for this. They will never be great if they don’t have the best teams challenge them.
On a housekeeping note, I will be working during the start of the three games today, tomorrow and Saturday. I will schedule open thread posts, but sometimes they don’t post. I’ll correct it as soon as I can if it happens.
Heading out east to the retirement party of one of my partner’s colleagues. (We will be in Davidson, NC – email me if you want coffee.) We had planned for months to overnight in Beckley, WV, which is in the flood zone. So, inspired partly by John’s fundraising, I decided to solicit donations and see if we could fill the minivan.
Kalamazoo came through nicely. The entire car is loaded with people food, pet food, bottled water, and baby stuff; also, lots and lots of blankets, towels, and bedding. And lots and lots and LOTS of cleaning supplies. (Thanks for the good advice, commenter J R in WV!) We’ve also got (hope no one is bugged by the commercial links; these people did good)…
200 packages of Heilman‘s gourmet nuts in bags poetically labeled, “Nuts for You from Kalamazoo” (BTW they ship.)
A bunch of Dr. Bronner’s hemp-based soap and Manitoba Harvest Hemp Hearts (nutritious and vegan!) from a nice woman who helped organize this year’s local Hemp History Week event. (Hemp is good, right Juicers?)
Fastsigns—there may be one near you!–donated the sweet magnetic car signs. (See below.)
My partner and I probably spent the equivalent of an eight-hour day contacting people, picking up stuff, and filling the car. (He’s a good filler; obviously has the Tetris gene.) You could argue that it would have been more efficient just to write a check, but connecting with people, both in Kzoo and Beckley, has been wonderful; and people really seemed to love and appreciate the opportunity to donate.
It’s an eight-hour trip to Beckley, and I’ll let you all know how things go.
(Now, where did I put my show tunes…)
— ABC News Politics (@ABCPolitics) June 29, 2016
— FOX Business (@FoxBusiness) June 29, 2016
Holy cats. https://t.co/vleG7PRKRT
— Daniel Drezner (@dandrezner) June 29, 2016
Prediction market odds for 2016 via @PredictWise
– Hillary wins: 75% chance
– Dems retake Senate: 59% chance
– Dems retake House: 18% chance
— Bill Deger (@muwxguy) June 29, 2016
Apart from that, what’s on the agenda for the day?
Just in: Obama and Clinton will hold their first campaign rally together on Tuesday. Charlotte, North Carolina.
— Gabriel Debenedetti (@gdebenedetti) June 29, 2016
Beginning in 2014, we designed a randomized, controlled trial to test the effectiveness of peer review with the food safety staff of King County, where Seattle is located. Half of the inspection staff was randomly assigned to engage in peer review. For sixteen weeks, these inspectors spent one day per week with a randomly selected fellow inspector, taking turns conducting inspections and independently scoring health code violations. We then used information from these peer inspections to identify and train for violations that cause the most confusion.
The results were remarkable. We discovered that, when observing identical conditions in restaurants, health inspectors disagreed nearly 60 percent of the time. Inspectors differed in their assessments of risk magnitude and in interpretations and applications of the health code to particular circumstances, resulting in varying citations for the same condition.
He is very excited to see peer review and peer coaching in the medical realm as a means of transforming the practice of medicine from folk ways informed by science to a more systemic practice. There are significant inconsistencies in treatment methods for the same example patient depending on where the doctor was trained, where he currently practices and what equipment is available (and who has an ownership stake in all of the various billable opportunities).
To some extent, peer review has always been a part of medicine—think here of M&M conferences. And it’s starting to get more attention. As Ho and Elias note, Atul Gawande wrote an important New Yorker article in 2011 about surgical coaching. Here at the University of Michigan, Justin Dimick has landed an NIH grant to investigate surgical coaching more generally.
My first thought was on soccer refereeing.
I’m at the point in my soccer career where I am spending a decent amount of time every year going to clinics, reviewing game film, watching highlighted clips from the MLS and international leagues to see what USSF wants us to do. I also get several formal assessments a year from either USSF or NISOA (the college referee umbrella group). These formal moments of training are valuable as they provide me with a framework of what I should be doing. (As a reminder I am not and never have been on the MLS track — those guys and girls are doing this 20 hours a week or more)
However it is not the best training I receive each year.
The best training is the long car rides home after East Nowhere State beat Palookaville College. This is where extremely strong post-game analysis occur.
James Dobson Walks Back The Story of Trump’s Conversion https://t.co/NgvQuCeniU
— Erick Erickson (@EWErickson) June 29, 2016
James “Focus on the Family (While I Pick Your Pocket)” Dobson is very, very disappointed by all us haterz who cruelly mock his optimistic embrace of “baby Christian” Donald Trump…
Here is leading evangelical James Dobson saying Trump has become a born-again Christian – or a "baby Christian": pic.twitter.com/x5oxBs6YY8
— Sopan Deb (@SopanDeb) June 26, 2016
And it's a great contract, folks, believe me, no one got a better deal with Christ than me. Jews love me, they do. https://t.co/Foog4Ph2N6
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) June 26, 2016
@BuzzFeedAndrew "A relationship. Okay, it's mostly a creditor-debtor relationship, if you get my drift."
— Doug MacLeod (@kdm_TO) June 26, 2016
1. Golf course
2. Hat design meeting
3. Find a relationship with Christ
4. Insult Mexican judge
5. Cracker/wine forgiveness
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) June 26, 2016
And not just the unsaved Christianist-haters, either:
— Russell Moore (@drmoore) June 28, 2016
Poor saintly Mr. Dobson just wanted to remora Deadbeat Donald’s #WINNING grift while that shark is still moving — living off a host’s, uh, leftovers is an honorable tradition among his clan. How was he to know how rapidly the gilt would wear off the Trump scampaign, once it was exposed to the acid examination of non-believers?