Two data points that make me fairly confident of November even in an alternate universes with a mostly sane Republican party:
Fifty-percent of Americans approve of Obama’s performance as the country’s chief executive, the highest level since May 2013. This is an uptick from his average approval rating during his seventh year in office, which was 46 percent, according to Gallup.
And the latest unemployment claims filing:
Initial US weekly unemployment claims fell by 18,000 over the week ending on 5 March to reach 259,000, according to the US Department of Labor
We’re at peace, there are jobs, and the incumbent President is reasonably popular. Those are good fundamentals for any incumbent party.