I wouldn't underestimate @neelkashkari.
— Charles Lane (@ChuckLane1) February 7, 2014
A new Public Policy Institute of California poll finds Gov. Jerry Brown (D) leading the race for governor with 47%, followed by Tim Donnelly (R) at 10% and Neel Kashkari (R) and Andrew Blount (R) at just 2%.
I have a colleague who is always wrong about everything he predicts, whether it’s Romney winning in 2012 (at one point Romney led in one of those “futures markets”, thus Romney was a cinch) or the fate of the Malaysian Airline flight (he thought Al Qaeda had landed it and was now doing a hostage negotiation).
So here’s my question: are there people who are so consistently wrong that they can be considered counter-indicators, that you could make money by betting against everything that they predict? Charles Lane (this electoral map is also a doozy) and William Galston seem like strong candidates. Is it a pan-New Republic/contrarian thing?