Ed Kilgore, at the Washington Monthly, has a tipsheet:
Since congressional Republicans seem to have decided they’re going to be out doing errands between now and the time they hunker down for the 2014 general elections, us news-watchers and bloviators have a large stake in paying attention to the scattered party primaries that will occur during the course of the year—especially those Senate contests on the Republican side that could screw up the GOP’s drive for Senate control, or tilt their Conference further to the Right, or both.
So it’s prudent to take a look at the calendar.
The first actual primary is in Texas on March 4. Sen. John Cornyn’s right-wing challenger, the erratic Rep. Steve Stockman, has run a really bad campaign and no one thinks the potentially vulnerable Cornyn is in any real trouble (the most competitive Texas primary probably involves 90-year-old Rep. Sam Hall, who is trying to hang on for one more term).
The primary calendar really doesn’t heat up until May. On May 6, North Carolina’s Senate primary revolves around Establishment GOP favorite Thom Tillis’ struggle to reach the 40% necessary to avoid a July 15 runoff against a large field in which the challenger to watch could be self-proclaimed “constitutional conservative” Greg Brannon…