Jim Newell has a good piece on John Boehner’s future:
But if we’re talking about how much power a Speaker assumes his or her self in setting priorities and leading negotiations on major legislation, rather than keeping out of the picture and handing the reins off to his committee chairman, Boehner has already chosen the role of a “strong” Speaker. He takes it upon himself to keep the GOP conference united and personally negotiate the details each time these would-be “Grand Bargain” opportunities arise, even though he’s clearly not very good at it.
So as of now, Boehner will go down as a weak Speaker assuming a strong Speaker’s job. And it may be that he’s locked in this role. Trying to be more effective in moving bipartisan pieces of legislation—by, say, trying to attract Democratic votes—wouldn’t bother him so much ideologically, but may lead his conference to decide it no longer wants him as Speaker. And he has very little interest in allowing that.
Jim thinks Boehner will remain speaker, and he’s probably right. Nobody else wants the job, because either you’ll compromise and get RINO’d out of the job, or you’ll come up with plans C, D, E and F, all of which will be withdrawn at the last minute, making you look like an ass.