My opinion on the contraception coverage issue for churches is that it will have no political effect. I think it’s too complicated and most people just don’t care. It was a bad move for the Catholic church, but it probably won’t impact whether people vote Republican or Democrat this fall.
Democracy Corps thinks it has the potential to hurt Republicans and they make a good point that I hadn’t thought of:
More broadly, voters may wonder why the Republicans are consumed with pushing back health coverage for women rather than continuing to focus on the economy, spending and debt.
We may yet look back on this debate and wonder whether this was a Terry Schiavo moment.
The Obama position finds a two-thirds majority among suburban voters and a 61 percent majority among single women. These results loom large when voters prefer Democrats over Republicans by 52 to 26 percent on women’s issues, including a 36-point margin among senior women and a 47-point margin among unmarried women.
The reason Schiavo hurt Republicans was probably not so much because the public agreed with the husband (though they did), but because they wondered why the Republican Congress was hot-dogging the issue. The same could be true with the contraception coverage issue.