I’m not quite sure why the races in Minnesota, Colorado, and Missouri tomorrow aren’t getting more attention. Colorado is probably one of those states Republicans will never win again because they pissed off too many Latinos and also too, it has a non-trivial Mormon population, which should help Romney win. But Missouri and Minnesota may be meaningful. Nate Silver:
Mr. Romney could be vulnerable in both states. A survey released on Sunday by Public Policy Polling, which has had fairly accurate results so far in the primary season, had Minnesota as a toss-up between Mr. Romney and Mr. Santorum, with Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul not far behind.
And in Missouri, where Mr. Gingrich is not on the ballot for the “beauty contest” primary, it had Mr. Santorum ahead of Mr. Romney, 45 percent to 34 percent.
Imagine that Mr. Romney were to lose both states. That would make him zero for three in the nation’s most important swing region. It would raise questions about his performance in Ohio, probably the most important state to vote on “Super Tuesday,” March 6. Polling there also shows a competitive race.
This might go a little to the ridiculous demographic fixations we always see in primaries — why can’t Obama win the rural working-class Polish vote, why is Obama doing so poorly among Orthodox single moms — but if Romney loses 2 of 3 tomorrow, it’s hard to see why the race should end anytime soon.