Gregory Djerejian of The Belgravia Dispatch has an excellent piece on the flotilla disaster. I’ll excerpt but read the whole thing:
Operationally, it’s largely no-brainer fare what went wrong, as various military experts have opined ad nauseam. Why was the intelligence about the ‘activists’ on board so sub-par, to include presuming a more docile reaction to airborne commandos crashing the party at an ignoble pre-dawn hour? What of the somewhat surreal tidbit about paintball rifles, as the FT reports typically “used to bruise and mark suspects for later arrest”, as if either of these crowd-dispersal techniques on a sea-borne vessel make any sense whatsoever? Instead, with the intelligence badly flawed from the get-go, and thus the operational capabilities required fundamentally misconstrued, it was all too easy for live ammunition to be too liberally employed in the initial chaos leading to fatalities (nine and counting, with regardless even one death too many for a boat full of non-combatants, which contra the always enterprising musings of Alan Derschowitz, where he says that the flotilla’s passengers “fit uncomfortably onto the continuum of civilianality that has come to characterize asymmetrical warfare”–I suspect instead most leading public international law authorities would ultimately conclude, ‘continuums of civilianality’ or not, that these individuals were not rendered bona fide combatants simply because the ship was attempting to break a blockade, and given the totality of the circumstances).
And last, while there are still other strategic setbacks besides, the continued de-legitimation of Israel among large swaths of global opinion coming out of the ’06 Lebanese conflict, the dismal Operation Cast Lead, the Goldstone Report, and now this latest debacle, is worth highlighting as well. I know, I know, everyone would be beating up on Tel Aviv anyway, we are told by those who are always at the ready to provide carte blanche style rationalizations for whatever conduct Israel might deem appropriate, and with whatever the consequences, but this seems too easy a retort, no?
What worries me most is that Israel seems in the throes of conservative magical thinking. Each new disaster is treated in many quarters as “good news”, as a sign that “Israel is winning”. It reminds me a lot of how American conservatives think, with each new political setback advancing the overall cause of conservatism somehow. Luckily, in the United States, each new political setback for conservatives also limits conservative power and insulates the country from the dangers of conservative magical thinking. What is going on in Israel is very different.
Update. This Haaretz piece along similar lines is good too.