Reading an annoyingly titled but interesting piece about the next election cycle, I came across this interesting tidbit, which I hadn’t seen before:
As The New York Times’ John Harwood recently noted, McCain won the same percentage of the white vote that Ronald Reagan did in 1980 — and lost.
Here’s something else interesting: Bush won 58% of the white vote in 2004. If McCain had won 58%, he still would have lost badly. If he’d won
65% 60% of the white vote, the race would have been essentially a tie.
The media has a strange tendency to treat non-white voters as if they don’t count (EDIT: But I am not suggesting Harwood is doing that here). The “real battle” is always for white, suburban “security moms” or “NASCAR” dads or Chris Matthews’ cranky Reagan Democrat uncle. But we’re now in a position where Republicans have to win two-thirds of the white vote in order to win an election, assuming current trends continue. That’s pretty striking to me.