If you want to follow the results in NY-20, I recommend comparing the incoming county-by-county results from here with the county-by-county results of the 2006 election (in which Gillibrand defeated John Sweeney by 6 points).
Though to some extent it may be possible to get a feel from raw totals, since the results didn’t vary by county that much last time. I’ll keep you posted via updates.
Update. Tedisco up 52-48 with about 15% reporting.
Update 2. Tedisco up 51-49 with about 20% reporting.
Update 3. Tedisco up 52-48 with about 30% reporting. Tedisco’s doing real well in the big county — Saratoga — and I’m not sure why (I don’t know the counties there well enough to know if that’s specifically where he’s from).
Update. Basically tied (Murphy up by a couple hundred votes) with about 45% in .
General update. I don’t know the district that well, but it’s common in NYS for the more urban districts to come in later than the more rural ones. So Democrats often close fairly strong. No idea if that’s the case here. In fact, Delaware, which was the big Republican stronghold hasn’t come in much at all yet.
Update. Tedisco back up by 800 votes with a little more than half in.
Update MikeJ writes:
Tedisco lives a few blocks from Saratoga county in Schenectady county. He was however, an assemblyman representing Saratoga Co. for 26 years.
Don’t be shocked if Tedisco wins on the strength of his popularity as an State Assemblyman. They loves them some State legislators in upstate NYS.
Update. Close to a flat-footed tie — Murphy by 150 — with about 70% in.
Update. Tedisco back up slightly with a few more precincts in. A lot of what’s left is Saratoga which may give Tedisco the advantage. On the other hand, hardly any of Columbia is in and that’s where Murphy is strongest.
Update. Tedisco up by a thousand voters with 80% in.
Update. Tedisco up by 1400 with almost 90% in. Saratoga is almost entirely in so what’s left is mostly Columbia and Delaware. This will probably be within a 1000 votes one way or the other tonight, which means we won’t know til the absentees are counted and everything is recanvased. The big story is that Tedisco’s assembly background seems to have helped a lot in Saratoga.
Update. Tedisco by about 120 votes with 22 precincts (out of 610) left, 8 in Columbia and 14 in Saratoga. We won’t know anything about who really won for a few weeks. Shailagh Murray is already pushing for a re-vote.
Update. Murphy up by 250 votes with three precincts from Saratoga left to report.
Update.Murphy up by 81 votes with one precinct in Saratoga left.
Update. Murphy up by 65 after tonight.