A number of various polls out there– Newsweek has Obama up by 3 (down from the absurd +15 last month with a notable change in sampling), Gallup has him up by 6, CNN by eight.
I will say this once, and then move on- I don’t care about any polling until after the convention, and any poll that has Obama up by over six seems wildly unrealistic. While this is a bad year for the Republicans, the fundamentals of the electorate have not changed that much, in my view. Look at the GOP response to date- they hate McCain, but are rallied around beating Obama. There is a significant portion of the electorate who may hate Bush, but who will never vote for Obama under any circumstance.
Long story short- don’t trust any polls right now. Things will change.
*** Update ***
I should probably also note- anyone stating that the move from +15 in the Newsweek poll in June to +3 now is a sign of anything is engaging in pure wankery, and has no understanding of the concept “outliers.”