Josh Marshall discusses Donna Brazille’s appearance this morning on This Week here, and in another posts states the following:
So there it is. Since neither side now seems to think revotes are likely and the Obama campaign and the DNC will never agree to seat the delegates from the non-sanctioned primaries, Sen. Clinton seems to be saying pretty clearly that she plans on taking her campaign all the way to Denver.
By saying she’ll continue through the remaining ten contests, regardless of the outcome, and implicitly, I take it, regardless of any superdelegate declarations over the next two months, Sen. Clinton is saying it’s no longer about pledged delegates, or superdelegates or popular votes. It’s about Florida and Michigan. Period.
At the GOS, Rerutled runs the numbers and determines that right now Clinton has 61 votes on the credential committee, Obama has 70, but that 26 are up for grabs. With the way they are apportioned with the remaining contests in ten states, he comes to the following conclusion:
Thus, there is a razor thin margin here, where indeed Clinton has more of a chance in a credentials fight than Donna Brazille’s (incorrect) division of votes. With the 25 DNC members, and 26.33 members still to be elected in future primaries, a majority on the credentials committee can be had by either candidate.
The credentials committee will submit their majoity report to the convention floor, which will state who is credentialed and who is not. Further to the DNC rules (in the same document above, Sec VII, B, 2), a minority of the committee composed of only 20% of its membership may submit a minority report, which will be voted on at the convention floor, too.
That is her endgame. She needs the credential committee to seat the illegitimate delegates from Florida and Michigan. For all her bluster about the will of the people, this is all about back-room deals to subvert the will of the people. As she can not make up the popular vote and she can not make up the delegate count, this is what she has left.
If Hillary “wins” the nomination this way, I will have a very hard time voting for her. I left the GOP to get away from this kind of sleaze.
*** Update ***
One campaign watched Florida in 2000 and smiled in admiration at the GOP handiwork:
Unlike Kath, I was largely unable to take photos because my credentials were challenged. Along with the credentials of a large swath of the elected delegates.
After six or so extremely hot, crowded, confusing hours, many of us were unable to determine why, exactly, our credentials had been challenged. The Clinton camp had announced that they were targeting the 23rd district for credentials challenges and, by god, that’s what they did.
By the end, the Clinton folks were willing — hell, eager — to throw out not just random individuals but the entire delegation of 2 precincts. (So much for voter enfranchisement, eh, Hills?)
The protest process was tailor-made for alienating committed voters, wearing them out to the point where they would drop out. By the end of the night, the convention floor was abuzz with tired, pissed-off voters who now hate Hillary with the fire of a thousand suns.
I’m one of them. Thanks for sucking those 10 or so hours away from me, Hills. Love ya. Mean it.
And she never did figure out why her credentials were challenged:
When we tried to check in for credentials, we were told we had been challenged. My name was on a list that indicated that I needed to leave the stadium grounds and head for the junior high across the street where my credentials “would be verified.”
Enormous confusion, three floors of junior-high-school, five rooms, and two computer data-base checks, I was told I had been “cleared” to participate. I got a fresh print and, thereafter, was able to pull my credentials.
It took me four hours to get my paperwork, and another hour to work my way through the crowd, down the elevator in my wheelchair and back to the convention floor. Then, another hour to get my credentials. And I was one of the quick ones.
The one thing I can tell you is that ALL of the challenges were against Obama delegates.
To continue my Iraq analogy from earlier, this is apparently the hearts and minds portion of the Clinton campaign.